• Pelicanen@sopuli.xyz
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    15
    ·
    5 months ago

    Why are you so certain that people would instantly vote for a new candidate more than the incumbent president? I have only seen polls saying the exact opposite.

    Regardless, time is ticking out. If a new candidate is gonna have time to build any sort of support or momentum, they need to get started yesterday and hit the ground running, the election is just getting closer.

    • givesomefucks@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      14
      ·
      5 months ago

      I have only seen polls saying the exact opposite

      An incumbent with what? A 34% approval rating?

      Biden isn’t a normal incumbent he’s literally a historically unpopular incumbent…

      And for months now polls have been showing a smaller gap between almost anyone else and trump.

      Like, do you not understand this is Biden with the campaign and DNC behind him versus people who can’t even say they’re thinking about running yet?

      You don’t think that would give them even a 5% boost?

    • bostonbananarama@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      6
      ·
      5 months ago

      I’ve seen polling that says that Michelle Obama wins by like 20 points, but I’m not stupid enough to believe that polling.

      There’s so much “not Trump” feeling in this country, but running a doddering octogenarian against him decreases those people willing to vote for “not Trump”. I’m absolutely voting for the Dem candidate, but I have some very real concerns about it.

    • Maggoty@lemmy.world
      link
      fedilink
      arrow-up
      3
      ·
      5 months ago

      There’s four months to go, that’s a long time to campaign. We’ve gotten used to these super campaigns but countries routinely hold them inside a couple months.

      • Pelicanen@sopuli.xyz
        link
        fedilink
        arrow-up
        2
        ·
        5 months ago

        While the US campaign cycle is more extended than other countries’, even then the people who are going to be the main candidate for their respective parties (party leaders for example) are usually known well in advance and have managed to build up a reputation with their constituents before they even start campaigning. In this situation, you’d have to start way further back.

        I’m not saying it’s the wrong way to go, but everyone should be aware that changing candidate to someone completely new this close to the election absolutely won’t be a cakewalk.

        • Maggoty@lemmy.world
          link
          fedilink
          arrow-up
          1
          ·
          5 months ago

          We have plenty of party leaders. We’re not starting with unknowns. The people we’re talking about are 90 percent of the way there.