- Russia is launching “unusual” numbers of carrier killer missiles, among others, at urban areas in southern Ukraine.
- The Kh-22 missile is inaccurate when used this way and exceptionally dangerous.
- Its reported use in recent attacks on Odesa indicates Russia is continuing to engage in indiscriminate destruction.
I agree on the ending soon enough, however I think if Russia did hit a NATO state, Article 4 might not lead to an Article 5. NATO is already at a Article 4 so for the War so, so there is a huge amount of deliberation and intent to support without escalation.
Also even if Article 5 was invoked, it would be a question as to who would actual send troops vs “such action as [the member state] deems necessary” which is fairly broad.
I doubt article 5 would result immediately in boots on the ground, i can see strikes against naval targets in the black sea happening though or strikes against Russian defensive positions in Ukraine
Agreed. I do not see Russia backing down even with that though.