Let’s go baby, I love this sport!
I’m interested in putting together a computer poll. I’d like to base it off of win probability charts, like what I’ve sometimes seen online.
Does anyone know of a source for this sort of data for college football? I’d love a free resource but if the cost is reasonable I may be willing to pay for one.
Something like this perhaps? The founding mod and I were looking at using this source of data to build a bot that would automate game threads but neither of us had the time and scripting know-how
This is at the very least a good thing to start with.
Thank you for sharing!
My Ballot
- Oregon
- Texas
- Ohio State
- Miami FL
- Georgia
- Notre Dame
- Penn State
- Cockabose!
- Tennessee
- Indiana
- SMU
- Arizona State
- BYU
- Burn Tiger, Burn!
- Tulane
- Colorado
- Missouri
- Iowa State
- Army, I still love you <3
- Boise State
- Iowa State
- War Dang Eagle.
- If A&M actually practiced their Sports and Not just their cheers they would have won.
- Illinois
- Florida
My ballot. Oregon loses the bye week to Ohio State AND Notre Dame. Notable big winners are Auburn, Florida, and Kansas. The once #9 💩sburgh continues to plummet, now at #62! BYU falls out of the Top 25, and ASU takes over for the Big 12 at #12.
- Ohio State
- Notre Dame
- Oregon
- SMU
- Texas
- Penn State
- Indiana
- Georgia
- South Carolina
- Tulane
- Clemson
- Arizona State
- Miami
- Boise State
- Ole Miss
- Tennessee
- Alabama
- Baylor
- Colorado
- Florida
- Syracuse
- Army
- Louisville
- Illinois
- UNLV
Full Rankings
Rank Team Record Rating SOS 1 Ohio State (10-1) 1457 1046 2 Notre Dame (10-1) 1452 1016 3 Oregon (11-0) 1424 979 4 SMU (10-1) 1383 962 5 Texas (10-1) 1382 1041 6 Penn State (10-1) 1357 1028 7 Indiana (10-1) 1336 945 8 Georgia (9-2) 1325 1051 9 South Carolina (8-3) 1315 1013 10 Tulane (9-2) 1310 900 11 Clemson (9-2) 1297 954 12 Arizona State (9-2) 1286 971 13 Miami (10-1) 1285 971 14 Boise State (10-1) 1277 905 15 Ole Miss (8-3) 1260 1013 16 Tennessee (9-2) 1260 932 17 Alabama (8-3) 1236 1062 18 Baylor (7-4) 1212 976 19 Colorado (8-3) 1211 971 20 Florida (6-5) 1198 1086 21 Syracuse (8-3) 1197 996 22 Army (9-1) 1193 834 23 Louisville (7-4) 1191 1106 24 Illinois (8-3) 1189 1007 25 UNLV (9-2) 1176 927 26 Iowa State (9-2) 1172 978 27 Duke (8-3) 1171 966 28 Kansas (5-6) 1167 1081 29 Texas A&M (8-3) 1167 1048 30 Kansas State (8-3) 1167 1014 31 Jacksonville State (8-3) 1167 836 32 Georgia Tech (7-4) 1155 1029 33 Missouri (8-3) 1155 996 34 LSU (7-4) 1154 1080 35 Ohio (8-3) 1154 871 36 BYU (9-2) 1151 986 37 Marshall (8-3) 1150 882 38 Iowa (7-4) 1146 977 39 Louisiana (9-2) 1142 871 40 Miami (OH) (7-4) 1138 896 41 Michigan (6-5) 1131 1131 42 USC (6-5) 1125 1061 43 Boston College (6-5) 1125 1013 44 Memphis (9-2) 1125 824 45 Washington (6-5) 1123 1016 46 TCU (7-4) 1120 957 47 Minnesota (6-5) 1103 999 48 Auburn (5-6) 1099 1000 49 Texas Tech (7-4) 1098 988 50 Arkansas (6-5) 1096 1001 51 Bowling Green (7-4) 1087 856 52 West Virginia (6-5) 1082 1004 53 Liberty (8-2) 1073 776 54 Oklahoma (6-5) 1071 1102 55 Georgia Southern (7-4) 1067 938 56 East Carolina (7-4) 1065 849 57 James Madison (8-3) 1063 824 58 Vanderbilt (6-5) 1054 1027 59 Navy (7-3) 1050 939 60 North Carolina (6-5) 1043 965 61 South Alabama (6-5) 1043 906 62 Pittsburgh (7-4) 1039 1008 63 California (6-5) 1039 919 64 Nebraska (6-5) 1038 1006 65 Virginia Tech (5-6) 1037 1112 66 UConn (7-4) 1030 850 67 Sam Houston (8-3) 1023 851 68 Virginia (5-6) 1020 1050 69 Rutgers (6-5) 1018 964 70 Buffalo (7-4) 1016 855 71 Washington State (8-3) 1014 915 72 UTSA (6-5) 1012 851 73 South Florida (6-5) 1002 907 74 UCLA (4-7) 989 1150 75 Toledo (7-4) 987 888 76 Colorado State (7-4) 987 884 77 App State (5-5) 975 972 78 Texas State (6-5) 974 892 79 Western Kentucky (7-4) 973 861 80 Arkansas State (7-4) 970 872 81 Wisconsin (5-6) 968 1009 82 Fresno State (6-5) 962 887 83 NC State (5-6) 953 1004 84 Kentucky (4-7) 950 1097 85 New Mexico (5-6) 948 851 86 Michigan State (5-6) 945 1034 87 Houston (4-7) 942 1051 88 Old Dominion (4-7) 937 1033 89 Northern Illinois (6-5) 935 909 90 Cincinnati (5-6) 932 1042 91 UCF (4-7) 931 1041 92 San José State (6-5) 926 884 93 Utah State (4-7) 913 901 94 Wake Forest (4-7) 905 1028 95 Air Force (4-7) 887 909 96 Northwestern (4-7) 878 1039 97 Utah (4-7) 878 1007 98 Maryland (4-7) 875 1039 99 Arizona (4-7) 873 993 100 North Texas (5-6) 850 936 101 Oregon State (5-6) 850 909 102 Stanford (3-8) 843 1089 103 Troy (3-8) 842 929 104 Louisiana Tech (4-7) 839 829 105 Coastal Carolina (5-6) 836 957 106 Mississippi State (2-9) 834 1082 107 Charlotte (4-7) 833 981 108 Hawai’i (4-7) 828 874 109 UAB (3-8) 823 953 110 Central Michigan (4-7) 810 889 111 Florida State (2-9) 804 1134 112 Oklahoma State (3-8) 798 1017 113 UL Monroe (5-6) 794 942 114 Western Michigan (5-6) 794 896 115 Rice (3-8) 793 976 116 Georgia State (3-8) 789 980 117 Eastern Michigan (5-6) 783 881 118 Ball State (3-8) 777 917 119 Temple (3-8) 768 980 120 Akron (3-8) 754 951 121 Wyoming (2-9) 753 942 122 San Diego State (3-8) 739 910 123 New Mexico State (3-8) 738 904 124 Florida International (3-8) 727 853 125 Nevada (3-9) 718 959 126 Kennesaw State (2-9) 705 890 127 Tulsa (3-8) 693 884 128 UTEP (2-9) 687 880 129 Purdue (1-10) 685 1087 130 Middle Tennessee (3-8) 660 922 131 Massachusetts (2-9) 641 913 132 Southern Miss (1-10) 616 969 133 Florida Atlantic (2-9) 609 893 134 Kent State (0-11) 502 958 Here is my poll. I admit it, my bias is too big for ASU this week. I think they should be a few spots lower, but I wanted to rank ASU above Alabama for once in my life.
The bottom five are the next five in, but are ranked alphabetically.
1 Oregon
2 Ohio State
3 Penn State
4 Texas
5 SMU
6 Boise State
7 Indiana
8 Georgia
9 Notre Dame
10 Miami
11 Tennessee
12 Clemson
13 Arizona State
14 Alabama
15 BYU
16 Iowa State
17 UNLV
18 Ole Miss
19 Tulane
20 Army
21 South Carolina
22 Illinois
23 Texas A&M
24 Louisiana
25 Kansas State
Georgia Tech
Jacksonville State
Louisiana
Missouri
Syracuse
Texas 8&4 forever!
Alabama’s ranking is surprisingly stubborn considering the poll doesn’t take name/conference into consideration.
Computer poll based on resume:
- Oregon (1) | 11 - 0 | LW: 1 ( - )
- Ohio State (1.4) | 10 - 1 | LW: 2 ( - )
- Notre Dame (5.4) | 10 - 1 | LW: 5 (+2)
- Texas (6.6) | 10 - 1 | LW: 3 (-1)
- Penn State (10.9) | 10 - 1 | LW: 6 (+1)
- SMU (13.1) | 10 - 1 | LW: 8 (+2)
- Miami (14) | 10 - 1 | LW: 10 (+3)
- Indiana (15.3) | 10 - 1 | LW: 4 (-4)
- Georgia (19) | 9 - 2 | LW: 9 ( - )
- Boise State (21.5) | 10 - 1 | LW: 11 (+1)
- Alabama (24) | 8 - 3 | LW: 7 (-4)
- Clemson (25.8) | 9 - 2 | LW: 14 (+2)
- Iowa State (27.2) | 9 - 2 | LW: 19 (+6)
- BYU (27.4) | 9 - 2 | LW: 13 (-1)
- Arizona State (29) | 9 - 2 | LW: 22 (+7)
- South Carolina (29.1) | 8 - 3 | LW: 15 (-1)
- Ole Miss (29.2) | 8 - 3 | LW: 12 (-5)
- Tulane (29.4) | 9 - 2 | LW: 21 (+3)
- Tennessee (30.5) | 9 - 2 | LW: 20 (+1)
- Army (31.5) | 9 - 1 | LW: 16 (-4)
- UNLV (32.9) | 9 - 2 | LW: 24 (+3)
- Texas A&M (33.2) | 8 - 3 | LW: 17 (-5)
- Louisville (33.2) | 7 - 4 | LW: 28 (+5)
- Kansas State (33.4) | 8 - 3 | LW: 23 (-1)
- Illinois (35.8) | 8 - 3 | LW: 29 (+4)
- Colorado (37.1) | 8 - 3 | LW: 18 (-8)
- Syracuse (37.3) | 8 - 3 | LW: 30 (+3)
- Missouri (37.4) | 8 - 3 | LW: 26 (-2)
- Louisiana (39.1) | 9 - 2 | LW: 31 (+2)
- Duke (39.3) | 8 - 3 | LW: 33 (+3)
- LSU (39.6) | 7 - 4 | LW: 32 (+1)
- Georgia Tech (43.1) | 7 - 4 | LW: 37 (+5)
- Memphis (43.3) | 9 - 2 | LW: 35 (+2)
- Michigan (44.5) | 6 - 5 | LW: 39 (+5)
- Iowa (45.1) | 7 - 4 | LW: 36 (+1)
My ballot. Computer poll. A little weird that Ole Miss actually moved up a spot but the grouping is incredibly tight for 4 through 7. If Penn State hadn’t struggled so much with Minnesota they would be 4th. Some major movement further down: my hated sooners rise the most spots (from 77th to 45th), followed by Michigan (from 56th to 32nd) and Florida (from 60th to 40th).
Full ranking:
Rank Change Team Record Points 1 - Ohio State 10-1 839 2 - Notre Dame 10-1 812 3 +1 Texas 10-1 755 4 +1 Ole Miss 8-3 704 5 +4 Georgia 9-2 703 6 -3 Oregon 11-0 698 7 -1 Penn State 10-1 696 8 +4 Tennessee 9-2 671 9 -2 Alabama 8-3 668 10 -3 Indiana 10-1 666 11 +3 SMU 10-1 651 12 +2 Miami (FL) 10-1 649 13 +5 Arizona State 9-2 619 14 -4 South Carolina 8-3 618 15 +1 USC 6-5 617 16 -5 Clemson 9-2 615 17 - Texas A&M 8-3 608 18 +2 Iowa State 9-2 598 19 - BYU 9-2 593 20 -7 Tulane 9-2 585 21 +3 Louisville 7-4 584 22 +1 Iowa 7-4 582 23 -3 Colorado 8-3 579 24 +2 Kansas 5-6 573 25 -3 Virginia Tech 5-6 572 26 +6 Kansas State 8-3 563 27 -2 Minnesota 6-5 547 28 - Boise State 10-1 542 T29 +2 Georgia Tech 7-4 541 T29 +12 TCU 7-4 541 31 +7 Baylor 7-4 539 T32 +1 UNLV 9-2 537 T32 +24 Michigan 6-5 537 34 - Vanderbilt 6-5 530 T35 -9 JMU 8-3 529 T35 +2 California 6-5 529 T37 +7 Illinois 8-3 525 T37 +13 Missouri 8-3 525 T37 +5 LSU 7-4 525 T40 +14 Boston College 6-5 516 T40 +20 Florida 6-5 516 42 +1 Jacksonville State 8-3 514 43 -7 Texas State 6-5 513 44 +6 Arkansas 6-5 509 T45 -6 North Carolina 6-5 508 T45 +32 Oklahoma 6-5 508 T47 -12 Pittsburgh 7-4 506 T47 - Miami (OH) 7-4 506 49 +4 Louisiana 9-2 504 T50 -4 Syracuse 8-3 503 T50 +2 Duke 8-3 503 T50 +11 Nebraska 6-5 503 53 +5 Texas Tech 7-4 502 54 +4 Auburn 5-6 501 55 -7 UCF 4-7 500 T56 -27 Memphis 9-2 492 T56 -27 Washington 6-5 492 58 -9 Wisconsin 5-6 490 59 -19 Army 9-1 488 60 -15 Cincinnati 5-6 487 T61 +3 Ohio 8-3 484 T61 +8 Bowling Green 7-4 484 63 -6 Washington State 8-3 483 64 +6 West Virginia 6-5 479 T65 -10 Northern Illinois 6-5 478 T65 -2 Utah 4-7 478 67 -5 Rutgers 6-5 475 68 -3 Connecticut 7-4 474 69 -2 Kentucky 4-7 462 70 -4 Sam Houston 8-3 461 71 +3 Marshall 8-3 459 72 +3 UCLA 4-7 453 73 +8 South Alabama 6-5 452 74 -6 Toledo 7-4 448 75 -4 Western Kentucky 7-4 447 76 +6 NC State 5-6 444 77 -1 Old Dominion 4-7 439 78 +6 ECU 7-4 437 79 +7 Georgia Southern 7-4 436 80 - Houston 4-7 435 81 -9 Northwestern 4-7 426 82 - Arizona 4-7 424 T83 +3 Fresno State 6-5 422 T83 -4 Virginia 5-6 422 85 -1 Maryland 4-7 419 86 +10 USF 6-5 418 87 +6 Liberty 8-2 417 88 +1 Oklahoma State 3-8 415 89 -16 Navy 7-3 413 T90 -2 Louisiana Tech 4-7 407 T90 +2 FIU 3-8 407 92 +7 Michigan State 5-6 406 93 -2 Colorado State 7-4 405 94 -16 New Mexico 5-6 400 95 -5 San Jose State 6-5 399 96 +6 UTSA 6-5 398 97 -2 Nevada 3-9 396 98 +5 Buffalo 7-4 395 99 -5 Wake Forest 4-7 386 100 +1 Western Michigan 5-6 383 101 -3 UNT 5-6 382 102 -6 Coastal Carolina 5-6 376 103 +3 Oregon State 5-6 375 104 -4 Eastern Michigan 5-6 372 105 -1 Mississippi State 2-9 359 106 +6 Stanford 3-8 358 107 +3 Air Force 4-7 357 T108 +3 Arkansas State 7-4 354 T108 -4 Troy 3-8 354 110 +6 Utah State 4-7 353 111 +4 Georgia State 3-8 347 112 +1 UL Monroe 5-6 343 113 -5 Rice 3-8 339 114 -7 Florida State 2-9 335 115 +2 Wyoming 2-9 331 116 -2 San Diego State 3-8 329 117 +6 UAB 3-8 323 118 +2 FAU 2-9 318 T119 -11 Hawaii 4-7 316 T119 +2 Central Michigan 4-7 316 T121 -2 Appalachian State 5-5 309 T121 +4 Ball State 3-8 309 123 +3 Charlotte 4-7 308 124 +4 Akron 3-8 304 125 -2 Kennesaw State 2-9 303 T126 -4 Temple 3-8 295 T126 -8 UTEP 2-9 295 128 +3 New Mexico State 3-8 278 129 - Middle Tennessee 3-8 267 130 -3 Tulsa 3-8 263 131 +1 Purdue 1-10 256 132 -2 Massachusetts 2-9 254 133 - Southern Mississippi 1-10 216 134 - Kent State 0-11 189 Here are my standings this week. 23, 24 and 25 are statements
- Oregon
- Texas
- Ohio State
- Georgia
- Tennessee
- Notre Dame
- South Carolina
- Miami (FL)
- SMU
- Boise State
- Penn State
- Ole Miss
- Indiana
- LSU
- Army
- Kansas State
- Iowa State
- Illinois
- Vanderbilt
- Clemson
- Tulane
- Texas A&M
- Kansas
- Auburn
- Oklahoma
Army is pretty high for getting obliterated
I had them 5th going in. I genuinely thought they may be able to absolutely grind the game to a halt against anyone. But a 10 spot drop feels fair.
deleted by creator