What happened here?

    • Moss [they/them]@hexbear.net
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      1 day ago

      This website has such a stupid sense of humor because I was gonna comment this as soon as I saw this post but you beat me to it. All hexbear knows is peepee poopoo, fart, dirty owl, be gay and lie

  • CarbonScored [any]@hexbear.net
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    1 day ago

    Sadly practical prefix that I am not at all a skeptic - I just think this graph doesn’t show as much as one might argue.

    Isn’t ice core data actually only an indicator of ‘average’ CO2 concentration rolling over so many years (decades-centuries)? CO2 diffuses in fresh forming ice, and is already averaged over the ‘trapping’ period, so historical peaks and troughs would be largely smoothed out. I don’t think this graph alone is really precise enough to claim CO2 levels could never have reached current levels for at minimum some decades (not that we have any evidence to suggest it did).

    • BountifulEggnog [she/her]@hexbear.netOP
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      1 day ago

      So- I’m actually not too familiar with how precise ice core measurements are. If you have something specific you think I should read I’d love to see. I’m also recovering from getting my wisdom teeth out, so I can’t spend too long looking for information.

      this (preprint) paper says:

      broadly speaking, the shortest resolvable signal at high-accumulation sites is about one decade Trudinger, Etheridge, et al. 2002). At the lowest accumulation sites, centennial-scales features are markedly smoothed but still resolvable Nehrbass-Ahles et al. 2020

      The British Antarctic Survery says:

      The fastest natural increase measured in older ice cores is around 15ppm (parts per million) over about 200 years. For comparison, atmospheric CO2 is now rising 15ppm every 6 years.

      Which- to me- says it jumping 100+ ppm for a few decades and then returning would leave evidence behind? And like, why would it jump so drastically?

      I don’t know, sorry if this isn’t a lot of information, I really need to go lay down now.

      • CarbonScored [any]@hexbear.net
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        14 hours ago

        Nah that’s fair, and I certainly have no idea what I’m talking about either. But my understanding is that “ice core data” is a compilation of data from various ice core sampling, including those ‘lowest accumulation sites’ where they’re saying you can only measure to the precision of centuries.

        Again, I don’t know, but I’m assuming we don’t have “high accumulation” ice core data for all of that history, so jumping 100+ ppm for a few decades and then falling again wouldn’t necessarily show up in those low accumulation sites.

    • turtlegreen [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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      16 hours ago

      Interesting thought, but don’t you think the delta in the last 250 years or so of ice core data works against the hypothesis? In other words if smoothing worked to hide peaks in this way, how would the 1700-1958 ice core data values be possible?

      There are also measurable effects of rapid concentration increases, although even the short ones tend to play out on a decadal timeline. Even if the ice cores didn’t capture those effects, it should still be visible in other non-CO2 datasets like evidence of rapid glacier melting or forest fires. (Rapid emissions have much more significant effects than slow pulses.) Afaik we’ve not found evidence of this.

      You could also potentially do a statistical analysis to estimate original impulses from the diffused CO2 data as they would still have an identifiable signal even if diffused. I’m not sure what if any research has been done along those lines.

      • CarbonScored [any]@hexbear.net
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        14 hours ago

        Well, not all ice core data is equal. It depends on the rate of ice accumulation, so high accumulation sites will give much higher precision, especially for more recent years (say, the last few centuries). But my assumption is that low accumulation sites are where we get most of our much older data. I could be totally wrong as I’m talking out my behind.

        Low accumulation sites will smooth out the peaks to the scale of centuries, according to that other post, so what looks like 200 years of 300ppm could be a lot spikier in reality. Whether one can do some ‘further analysis’ I have no idea.

        I agree 100% with your second paragraph, there’s nothing I’m aware of that suggests CO2 has spiked liked this before. And it seems highly unlikely that it would’ve. And we may well have evidence to actually disprove such a theory.

      • Acute_Engles [he/him, any]@hexbear.net
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        1 day ago

        Carbon in atmosphere goes up but somehow that makes carbon on the surface go down?

        Come on, you expect me to believe that?

        also

        Alex Jones literally says "carbon in the atmosphere is good for you, when they say they want to reduce carbon they are just saying they want to reduce life. We are made of carbon. Think about it.

        Listening to knowledge fight has made me realize how futile arguing with right-wingers actually is.