Meanwhile the Tiangong space station began construction in 2021 and has been continuously crewed since June 2022. It currently has capacity for six people, and via UNOOSA-organized cooperation has plans to host experiments from 17 countries including Belgium, France, Germany, India, Italy, Japan, Mexico, the Netherlands, Peru, Russia, Saudi Arabia, and Spain. The first non-Chinese person to travel there will likely be from Pakistan. (The US would be welcome too but Congress currently prohibits NASA from participating.)
Before anyone brings these up:
The commercial replacements could each get multiple articles devoted to them. I feel good about Vast and Axiom beating the ISS deorbit deadline.
Vast yes, Axiom maybe. I’d give Voyager/Nanoracks a “maybe” as well.
I still think there’s a decent chance that there will be a gap in continuous 30-year streak of crewed U.S. spaceflight. Not that it matters in the long-term, but I suspect it’s a streak which China won’t cede to any other country if they can help it.
Voyager and Blue are such unknowns to me. I haven’t seen hardware, so I’m doubtful.