Considering the MIC is in bed with AI corporations I worry they will get bailed out to some extent, and that the gains will remain completely private, with taxpayers being expected to foot the bill (or alternatively, dealing with the inflation while their wages remain stagnant). I hope you’re right though, I really want there to be a positive in the end, I’m just skeptical on this front.
The silver lining to me is that there’s encouraging developments in FOSS AI, developed mainly in China. Maybe after the crash we can get somewhat cheaper GPUs to run them locally.
I think it’ll be really hard to bail AI out on public funds with current reputation if bubble pops.
However I think real risk is not full bail but constant leeching of public funds to private enterprise. This is not new to AI and this datacenter issue is exactly that - have people bear the environmental costs for private gains of datacenters. The other argument that US “doesn’t need datacenters” is just bad - that’s not the issue, everyone will need more datacenters forever basically.
encouraging developments in FOSS AI, developed mainly in China.
I wouldn’t really trust China’s open source commitments though. FOSS is non-existent in chinese culture and it’s directly a competitive response to american corporate models. That being said, a good deed done for bad reasons still can be good!
Honestly if AI would gracefully decline now and we just had open source models we’d still have work for the next 10 years implementing these tools.
Considering the MIC is in bed with AI corporations I worry they will get bailed out to some extent, and that the gains will remain completely private, with taxpayers being expected to foot the bill (or alternatively, dealing with the inflation while their wages remain stagnant). I hope you’re right though, I really want there to be a positive in the end, I’m just skeptical on this front.
The silver lining to me is that there’s encouraging developments in FOSS AI, developed mainly in China. Maybe after the crash we can get somewhat cheaper GPUs to run them locally.
I think it’ll be really hard to bail AI out on public funds with current reputation if bubble pops.
However I think real risk is not full bail but constant leeching of public funds to private enterprise. This is not new to AI and this datacenter issue is exactly that - have people bear the environmental costs for private gains of datacenters. The other argument that US “doesn’t need datacenters” is just bad - that’s not the issue, everyone will need more datacenters forever basically.
I wouldn’t really trust China’s open source commitments though. FOSS is non-existent in chinese culture and it’s directly a competitive response to american corporate models. That being said, a good deed done for bad reasons still can be good!
Honestly if AI would gracefully decline now and we just had open source models we’d still have work for the next 10 years implementing these tools.