• HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca
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    23 hours ago

    The US can flatten their infrastructure at will. They can only withstand so much of that before the calculus they’ve been working under changes.

    Iran was benefitting from the war for a large part of it. No longer.

    • Aceticon@lemmy.dbzer0.com
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      23 hours ago

      Remember how NAZI Germany “flattenned” the infrastructure of the Brits, literally mass bombing British cities?

      Remember who ultimatelly won?

      Historically a foreign enemy bombing civilians generally achieves the very opposite of compliance - it strengthens rather than weakens their resolve.

    • ☂️-@lemmy.ml
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      17 hours ago

      how so? iran can rebuild infrastructure, and also destroy theirs.

      the us can’t wrangle back control of the strait which is an important part of fueling the petrodollar. if the rumors are correct, both their oil and missile reserves are dwindling.

      pride precedes the fall.

      • HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca
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        21 hours ago

        Did I say Iran couldn’t do any damage?

        My whole point is the tit for tat can’t go any longer. And I’ve been vindicated (a bit) so far in that my 3rd scenario is starting to play out. Full mobilizing of the IRGC, scatter orders. US strikes are heavier and more frequent.

        The strait cannot be fully closed again/ much longer without serious physical shortages starting to appear. Therefore Iran either has to capitulate or go over the top and go for max pain.

          • HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca
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            20 hours ago

            So it was a “one of these things is bound to happen” list, not a “these are all going to happen” list.

            And #3 is absolutely panning out so far. We will see if it keeps up. But curious how you are so confident in your criticism when it’s literally happening…

            Or were you like most others thinking I was predicting all three things would happen, which is absolutely stupid because they can’t by definition all happen.

            • Nonconfrontational@lemmy.ml
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              19 hours ago

              Number 3 isn’t a prediction if it’s already happening, I thought that that would be obvious. The other 2 points are nonsensical. And my original comment was making fun of your statement that the US can flatten Iran at will.

                • Nonconfrontational@lemmy.ml
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                  15 hours ago

                  9 hours ago? It absolutely was lol. Where do you get your news? Sounds like they’re olds by the time you get em lol.

                  Also I think there’s some juice to the US ground invasion prediction but I don’t think it’s going to go badly for Iran lol.

                  • HumanOnEarth@lemmy.ca
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                    14 hours ago

                    21 hours…9 was the edit.

                    Although I suppose you have to take my word on that since I don’t think you can see edit histories.

                    But yeah.