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Cake day: August 23rd, 2025

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  • CinnasVerses@awful.systemsOPtoSneerClub@awful.systemsCFAR is Back
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    6 hours ago

    She could be raising children or organizing local events. If she is disillusioned I would have expected her to reappear somewhere else with a new cause (she explored skepticism, EA, and rationalism, and dropped out of several graduate programs when she decided that the field was not rigorous enough).

    I would have hoped she would say something about so many of her friends turning out to be embezzlers and Nazis.











  • I would be fascinated to hear from kinksters who have run similar events.

    They are keen on controlling contact and fluid-borne infections, but don’t talk about airborne infection control. Rationalists have a “COVID is over and RSV sounds like a Linux distro” party line which separates them from alienated nerds I know.

    Events I attend which combine alcohol and a risky physical activity have a one-drink maximum, or once you drink alcohol no more playing for you, not a subjective “Don’t drink too much.”


  • Who’s going to buy this profit-free stock selling for 100 times earnings?

    I think its worse than a P/E ratio of 100. It is 100 times revenue. Earnings in this context mean profits, so a company which is losing money has no P/E ratio. The argument is that if $100 of stock corresponds to $10 of profit last year (P/E 10), that is probably a better buy than if $100 of stock corresponds to $5 of profit last year (P/E 20).

    And yes, this looks to me like a crypto rugpull crossed with all the tricks which keep Tether prices and Tesla shares floating in midair.




  • The Project Lawful glowfic has a whole subplot where the forces of Evil lure the protagonist into BDSM play where surprise! their partner really truly does not consent.

    In this scenario, I think its inevitable that some prey will feel neglected and others will have their consent violated. Words and body language are the most powerful tools we have to understand another person, and its hard to remember the exact preferences of dozens of other people who you don’t know very well. Responsible predators will err on the gentle side and others will make mistakes (“oh **** I thought you were Sally and Sally asked us to …”) or deliberately cross boundaries. I am glad that they make a list of incidents and policy responses but I would not recommend attending kink parties organized by Bay Area rationalists.


    • We have worked to emphasize harder that choking is not on the default consent list.
    • We now have reports that prey who have opted into choking are going under-choked.
    • …while still having occasional reports that prey who didn’t opt into choking sometimes have people reach for their throats.
    • We’re trying to resolve this with things like cheatsheets, but the process is ongoing.

    I would like to hear more from experienced kinksters, but I think this shows why negotiating who will do what in advance while everyone is fully dressed and sober is a big part of kink culture (and so is demonstrating skills and building trust in less risky scenarios). If you want to be ravaged in a specific way, your pursuers can give you that if the focus of the day is on you, not on you and dozens of other people with beautiful individual desires and boundaries in a chaotic environment. It also sounds like many of the predators are not very experienced.




  • At minute 8 of “SpaceX IPO: Nice Try Though” Patrick Boyle mentions some circular finance: some of the banks which lent SpaceX $29 billion in March will be guaranteeing the IPO by promising to buy some shares to stabilize the price. Later he also points out that the banks financing the IPO have to buy Grok services and may be its main paying customers. Musk has done this sort of thing before eg. using Tesla (shareholder-owned) money to buy SolarCity which he partially owned. I knew a serial fraudster who moved to Texas for its business-friendly laws and courts.

    He liked the piss-tinged blog post by Cape Fear Advisors and estimates that the Muskrat wants to raise $50-75 billion in the IPO.

    It took Kaiser Bill to break the economic power of London and Paris, but the Muskrat thinks he can speedrun that game for the New York City map.