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Cake day: January 22nd, 2026

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  • I got rid of it years ago, thankfully, but I’ve heard the talk. As it stands, we wouldn’t make it a week outside of a guerrilla war, and I don’t know if we have a strong enough society or motivated enough populace for guerrilla war. We could make ourselves a hard enough target for them to avoid if we invested heavily in expanding the military, but where are we going to get the weapons? America? They could turn them off remotely I’m sure. China would be a good option, but America might invade us right away once they found out we were doing that. It’s a big problem.

    Even if we could get the Europeans to do anything more than write a strongly-worded letter, they don’t have much in the way of military might themselves. Frankly, I don’t trust them to help unless something changes, but the ticket is deterrence. We need to make ourselves a hard enough target that the Americans aren’t willing to try to take a bite, and it’s going to take a combination of alliances (we should ally with Mexico, since America is coming for them too) and armaments.

    Regarding shifting social spending to defence, I think it’s a bad idea, at least without other major changes elsewhere. Part of our problem is motivation - we’ve had 40 years of neoliberalism telling us the state owes us nothing besides tax credits and we owe the state nothing besides paying our taxes and obeying the law. We’re already halfway to losing public healthcare, so we won’t even be able to fight for that. We need a fundamental paradigm shift to save this country, and I’m not sure if we have the will or the imagination.


  • The rest of the “democratic” world supported Israel as they bombed Gaza to rubble, and supported America in basically every murderous invasion and regime change of the last 80 years, right up until America threatened to take Greenland - suddenly it’s different if America comes for someone in the club. All the “democratic west” amounts to is a few rich countries run by rich pedophiles, but God forbid we do business with big bad China, right?






  • That’s silly, you can’t just decouple from both of the world’s largest economies. The EU deindustrialized itself, and Australia and New Zealand aren’t exactly economic superpowers. Also, Japan is a de-facto one party state with a far-right government.

    The smart thing to do is to play the superpowers against each other - distance yourself from the US as much as we can (which we of course can only do to an extent), and normalize relations with China. We would be fools to continue to blindly follow US foreign policy while the US threatens to invade us.







  • I don’t put much stock into the “Russian puppet” theory. Presidents have been removed for far, far less than destroying NATO on behalf of the foreign enemy. If he really was a foreign agent, the CIA or some other three letter agency would have gotten rid of him one way or another.

    It also lets America off the hook. “Is this the culmination of a process that started before Reagan? No, it was the bad country, Russia, that used their puppet to destroy us. Without Russia and their puppet, everything would be fine.” The effect of the claim, and I would argue the point of it, is to exonerate the Democrats and non-MAGA Republicans for all their failures and misdeeds, to chalk Trumpism off as an aberration, and to promote the idea that everything will be fixed once this one guy goes away. It’s a simplistic and self-serving idea that reads like an airport novel, and it shouldn’t be taken very seriously.

    The truth is much stupider and much scarier. The smart people in American politics and government have slowly been rotated out, leaving the stupids. Republican culture war politics, originally just red meat for the base, has wormed its way into the actual world view of the people at the top. They believed their own propaganda, and think that maintaining global hegemony through soft power and finance is “woke”, and “giving money away to third-world shitholes.” They don’t actually understand that they were the primary beneficiary of the old world order, and harken back to the good old days when America would simply violently impose its will on the rest of the world, not realizing that America never stopped doing that, and all the diplomatic power and financial power was just the velvet glove over the mailed fist.

    This is probably a good thing for the world, at least in the long term, but it’s very bad for us and for Europe. We let the vampire in a long time ago, letting it offer us benefits and protection at the expense of our independence and our complicity. Now it’s turned on its minions, and we’re weak, long since made ourselves dependent on it. Look at how Macron grovelled to Trump about Iran - “Brilliant work, master! We are in complete agreement about the townsfolk and who their blood truly belongs to! But why must you feed on one of us, your friends?” The vampire does not have friends, it has prey and it has servants. Now it’s decided that the servants are prey as well.