MrPiss [he/him]
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24·13 days agoAlso, what’s up with this “Israel” thing where Palestine should be?
“Look what we’ve done here. I almost cried… How long have we been pushing this?” Graham says after U.S. strikes begin.
on assassinating world leaders, bombing schools, and destroying the global economy.
Ukraine doesn’t matter to Iran’s defense. Behind the scenes if Russia has info on where Ukrainian drone advisors to Israel are, then they might share that info with Iran and get a few good hits when attacking the entity but something targeted like that probably won’t be public knowledge.
I’ve seen better photoshop done in ms paint.
“Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.”
For many people in the imperial core the United States having an invincible army is an unfalsifisble orthodoxy despite always losing on the ground. Korea, Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan being losing quagmires were all aberrations for one excuse or another.
We can’t escape this cycle because there is no alternative to American military supremacy. Hegseth is a true believer in dumb warrior ethos crusader shit. Trump only understands American military power because he sees cool explosions on TV. In the foreign and exotic occident, there is a culture of “saving face” and some users here have posted articles about how Hegseth isn’t being told the truth because he keeps firing people and creating a culture of fear.
Some ships are taking risks believing Trump’s promises that the strait is open.
I really doubt this is true. How many times have ships been hit at this point? The boat owners probably just want to try their luck and don’t care if their crews die. They need to sell their oil.
The US also has a “politically neutral” military. Many here won’t appreciate me using that term, because - yes - the actions of the military are not separate from politics.
Nonpartisan is probably the better word.
China has a political military (or so I’ve been told), to avoid the downfall we saw in the soviet union.
The government of China technically has no military but the CPC has the PLA.
Imagine what Juche with Russian characteristics could accomplish.
Noooo you don’t understand. The new weapons startups are innovating by making smart artillery shells that are AI enabled wifi hot spots. The 10% of the time that they fit into the bore they’ll enable the grok anime girl to dab on the children they murder. This will save western civilization from [insert slur for current enemy].
Trump’s tired about bullshiting that there’s a ceasefire so he decided to bullshit about being at total war.
I saw this article on
the other day and the author thinks oil prices could go down further after a small rise. The argument is not structured properly so I’ll do my best to restructure it in a way that makes sense to me.A few major factors contribute to the oil price falling. There’s a long lead time on oil transit and processing so there’s no one big shock which results in higher all at once. Part of the rise and fall are the expectations of lower oil availability before it actually happens along with the market manipulation by the regime. The prices we see traded in futures are not fully tied to actual availability.
The global economy had been generally in a recession for a while except for select industries like AI. A shrinking economy decreases the need for oil. Increased oil prices and less supply further hurt the economy and accelerate the decline. This accelerates the demand destruction. Governments are also contributing to demand destruction by encouraging things like working from home and rationing efforts.
Ultimately, I don’t fully believe this but the market manipulation and SPR drain were executed well enough to prevent $200 which allows the growing recession and demand destruction to build up to the point where demand contracts to the point where oil prices decrease. Essentially the demand is now shrinking faster than supply.
7·1 month agoIn the corner dressed as a hoplite:
Gordian not!
This reminds me that I miss xiaohongshu’s posts. This has a lot of the talking points. Like, China’s export oriented economy being forced into a trade war with Europe by the US tariffs was one of the big things they pushed.
Honestly, while there’s certainly some critique to be leveled at Iran for not striking back at the US harder, I feel like the notion of this tit-for-tat pattern being particularly bad for Iran is predicated on assuming that the US will be able to just keep it up forever - which is plainly not the material reality.
To add on to this section, what’s Iran supposed to do with more strikes anyway? They’ve already destroyed some oil infrastructure in the region and significantly destroyed US bases. The Iranians can’t just fully destroy Saudi Aramco and commit unlimited war crimes against Israel.
At some point they have to negotiate with the Americans, they have to care about international opinion, and they have to leave room for escalation when the US breaks the ceasefire. Iran can’t just burn the entire region to ash around it.
It would take years to refill the reserve though. Joe Brandon drained it significantly after the SMO started and it was not cheap enough to refill since then. Refilling the SPR after this war would drive prices much higher than whatever they end up being unless it’s done slowly and by then Iran will just have more missile cities.
They’re draining the reserve by 10 million barrels a week to keep prices lower. Refilling it at the same rate would shoot prices up and suburbanites would crucify Trump.
Everyone knows that USIS lost the war but the contradictions prevent a peace deal and this is an expression of that. There is no way to go forward with Israeli aggression in the region continuing but Israel cannot exist without uninterrupted violence against Arabs. The capitalist class is torn between wanting war and wanting the straight open (also high and low oil prices). Trump needs to look strong while having lost a war. Imperialism always needs to expand but Iran needs to maintain sovereignty.
Like many things we’re stuck between the contradictions until something breaks and allows one of the forces to become dominant. I think peace is only really possible after the US strategic petroleum reserve runs dry and gas prices spike. After that the capitalist class will demand that Israel be restrained to stabilize oil prices. It might take a while to discipline Israel but the economic pain will make it will happen eventually.
China will be in alpha centauri before the US lands on the moon again.
Structurally he basically can’t recognize Kosovo because doing so legitimizes the Donetsk and Luhansk breakaway republics since they are broadly similar situations.