The judge has all the leeway in this case. Since these crimes were committed to influence an election and undermine democracy, the judge can make him go to prison for the 4 years.
Another factor in sentencing is remorse - Trump has never said he’s genuinely sorry for anything. If the judge isn’t convinced that this is a one time thing (which is tough since it’s 34 charges involving multiple events with multiple accomplices), prison is more likely.
With the logistics of imprisoning a past president, and the “kid gloves” the justice system has been using on trump, I see 1 year of house arrest as the most likely outcome, plus some fines.
I understand the kid gloves angle, since, you know… 10 gag order violations and all he gets is a fine. But I don’t really understand what’s so logistically complicated about imprisoning Trump? The warden at Rikers says they already have a plan in place for VIPs. They will put him in the isolation wing where he will have no cellmate and no interaction with the general prison population, and the Secret Service presumably have come up with a plan by now to protect the dumb fuck from himself while he’s on ice. Or better yet, congress can do their jobs for a change and just pass a law to strip former presidents of their secret service retinue if they are sent to prison and the problem will be solved without forcing Americans who are just doing their jobs from having to be punished alongside Trump.
The judge has all the leeway in this case. Since these crimes were committed to influence an election and undermine democracy, the judge can make him go to prison for the 4 years.
Another factor in sentencing is remorse - Trump has never said he’s genuinely sorry for anything. If the judge isn’t convinced that this is a one time thing (which is tough since it’s 34 charges involving multiple events with multiple accomplices), prison is more likely.
Absolutely fair. I am just shitting out what other pundits have said. We really won’t know what happens until July 11th.
With the logistics of imprisoning a past president, and the “kid gloves” the justice system has been using on trump, I see 1 year of house arrest as the most likely outcome, plus some fines.
That’s after the next 8 years of appeals…
I understand the kid gloves angle, since, you know… 10 gag order violations and all he gets is a fine. But I don’t really understand what’s so logistically complicated about imprisoning Trump? The warden at Rikers says they already have a plan in place for VIPs. They will put him in the isolation wing where he will have no cellmate and no interaction with the general prison population, and the Secret Service presumably have come up with a plan by now to protect the dumb fuck from himself while he’s on ice. Or better yet, congress can do their jobs for a change and just pass a law to strip former presidents of their secret service retinue if they are sent to prison and the problem will be solved without forcing Americans who are just doing their jobs from having to be punished alongside Trump.