• jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
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    8 months ago

    GOOD. He SHOULD be anxious. His numbers right now in states he won, states he NEEDS TO WIN AGAIN, are awful.

    Every one of his supporters needs to stop burying their head in the sand, get out, and organize.

    This isn’t 2020 where we could increase the vote count because Covid pushed everything to vote by mail, turn out is going to be down.

    In 2020, Biden won:

    Georgia (Biden +0.23%): Currently Trump +3 to +7
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/georgia/

    Pennsylvania (+1.17%): Trump +4
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/pennsylvania/

    Michigan (+2.78%): Trump +3 to +5
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/michigan/

    Wisconsin (+0.63%): Trump +3 to +4
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/wisconsin/

    Arizona (+0.3%): Trump +4 to +5
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/arizona/

    Nevada (+2.39%): Trump +5 to +7
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/nevada/

    In a good number of these states, even though he won, he did so by a plurality, not a majority. There is not a lot of wiggle room and if the election were today, he would lose.

      • jordanlund@lemmy.worldM
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        8 months ago

        The worst ones are the ones who go “The only poll that counts is election day!”

        And I’m like “Yeah, that’s how you LOSE and then do a book tour about 'Whyyyyyy? Why did I looooose? It must be someone else’s fauuuuulllt!”

        https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/What_Happened_(Clinton_book)

        Yeah, here’s what happened… you shot off your mouth in West Virginia, a state you were NEVER going to win, which lost you Pennsylvania (20 electoral college votes). Then you failed to campaign AT ALL in Michigan (16) and Wisconsin (10).

        Could have been 273 to 258. That’s what happened.

        Joe needs to show up BIG in all three of those states. There’s absolutely no excuse for “Son of Scranton” to be down 4 in PA. None.

      • MegaUltraChicken@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Because you don’t offer any solutions. Saying “Democrats bad” does absolutely nothing to further the conversation or help steer them in the right direction. If something is dire enough to require all these “warnings” then it should be paired with actions people can take to improve the situation. It is not difficult to say “Democrats bad, Republicans are worse, here’s how we fix it”. If you don’t feel those extra steps are necessary I would argue your concern isn’t very genuine.

        • agitatedpotato@lemmy.world
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          8 months ago

          Protip, not talking about the problems is also not a solution. Seems you just like your silence. Half the articles posted on lemmy have no solutions presented, yet we don’t find people saying things like this on those. I wonder why.

          Also on the face of it its a ridiculous asertation. Should people only post articles about problems they themselves have solutions for? Because that sounds wholly stupid.

          • MegaUltraChicken@lemmy.world
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            8 months ago

            Oh I’m not saying every article/comment needs to be about solutions at all. That would be ridiculous and wholly stupid, I agree. But someone posting negative articles and comments about the Democrats all day long and acting like theyre doing it out of concern is absurd (so is the “you guys take all the positive ones so that’s all that’s left over” thing). It’s doing nothing but creating more apathy and depressing engagement. It’s a very clear pattern with obvious results so I don’t see how it isn’t a conscious effort.

      • Beetschnapps@lemmy.world
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        8 months ago

        Maybe because there’s no warning and instead it sounds like you’re repeating “Biden sucks” and “democrats suck” over and over.

        Like another comment said you offer no solutions or any alternative to shitting on democrats… which isn’t going to help the issue at hand if you are to be taken seriously.