Commissioned by the Arab American Institute (AAI), the online poll of 2,505 American voters conducted between July 31 and August 1 found that 44% of U.S. voters would back Harris, 40% would support Republican nominee Donald Trump, and 11% would vote third party “if the election for president of the United States were held today.”

But if Harris were to endorse a suspension of U.S. arms shipments and diplomatic support for Israel “until there was a cease-fire and withdrawal of forces from Gaza,” her national support would grow from 44% to 49%.

A majority of Democratic voters say the Gaza crisis is either very or somewhat important in determining how they vote in November, according to the AAI poll.

The new survey, which has a margin of error of 2 percentage points, is consistent with an earlier poll commissioned by the Institute for Middle Eastern Understanding Policy Project, which found that Harris would bolster her chances in key battleground states if she backed an arms embargo.

  • Melody Fwygon
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    3 months ago

    If I’m going to be completely honest; I feel like these people in support of such a withdrawal of support (of Israel) are going to have to move the needle A LOT more than a mere 5% to get the attention they want.

    Might be acceptable to get a little louder about your issue; and properly educate people about it.

    • Keeponstalin@lemmy.worldOP
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      3 months ago

      I agree, but 5% is significant, especially nationally. In swing states, the second poll linked indicates it’s higher than 5% too

      • Melody Fwygon
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        3 months ago

        As I stated before; 5% is not significant enough. It won’t ensure the victory; it might barely even turn the tide. Depends on how Trump does.

        In some states; that’s even within a margin of error, and might be close enough to cause certain states to enter run-offs…because we know the GOP is a bunch of sore losers.

    • DrunkEngineer@lemmy.world
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      3 months ago

      It would also help to provide some type of calculation or explanation for how they even came up with that number. Reading the report, the 5% looks made-up.