Image, sourced from this article, is of George Bush in 2002 meeting with María Corina Machado, who was even then being trained as a figure to oppose Venezuelan socialism, and very briefly succeeded with the Carmona Decree. Now the latest recipient of the Nobel Peace Prize, she has begged the Zionist entity to drop bombs on the Venezuelan people.


As of me writing these sentences, it appears that the ceasefire in Gaza is underway. Zionist ceasefires are, of course, an oxymoron - not only in the grand sense that their work to continue genocidal atrocities against others locally and regionally will not cease until the Zionist entity’s occupation of Palestine is overthrown and Palestinians can resume the governance of their territory - but also in the literal sense; that bombings and shootings are often only merely reduced, and rarely cease entirely (as was/is the case on their northern border with Lebanon). Nonetheless, hopefully the population can receive some aid, and the long process of rebuilding can begin.

On the other side of the world, it seems increasingly likely that a new war is set to begin. Because the US is eschewing the usual process of generating pro-war propaganda and casus bellis (aside from a laughably transparent Nobel Peace Prize award) and seems content to just skip straight to the “bomb and depose” step, it’s quite hard to predict what precisely they want to do. Anything seems to be on the table - from freely striking Venezuelan territory where “drug dealers” are to try and prompt a Venezuelan response, to assassinating Maduro and/or his generals and hoping a power vacuum can be filled with compradors, to attempting to outright invade Venezuela and establish direct American control over important government sites. All appear to be possibilities, though as of right now, the most drastic measures seem unlikely due to their difficulty.

We know that the US has almost totally abandoned diplomatic communication with Venezuela, and that the US has deployed warships, a nuclear submarine, F-35s, surveillance planes, and at least 4,000 military personnel to the Caribbean, with some sources putting the numbers higher. Some people have suggested that the point is to try and force Maduro into a situation where he must begin hostilities, or be seen as weak and perhaps overthrown from within. It is at least encouraging that Maduro is not like Allende in Chile, and is taking this situation extraordinarily seriously; the masses are being trained and mobilized in the event of an invasion, and military drills are ongoing. Venezuela has no real capacity to stop the US from attacking and bombing them, but it is much more possible to prevent a West-friendly puppet from gaining meaningful control of the country. A comprador might be able to make a brief statement or decree in a Venezuelan city saying that Chavismo is over, but actual power will hopefully prove very elusive.

2020, and particularly 2022, has clearly become a turning point for the Western imperial system, in which increasingly aggressive and reckless moves are required to keep the system functional (stability is, at this point, out of the question). Unfortunately, this has also resulted in the deaths of many long-lasting, inspiring figures, such as Nasrallah, and many more will certainly die before the empire collapses. If Maduro is assassinated - and I’m having trouble imagining how he won’t be doggedly pursued in the days. weeks, and months to come - I have hope that a successor will rise to continue to lead the Bolivarian Revolution.


Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • xiaohongshu [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    That’s what the nationalists wanted to do - they wanted Russia to move back to Stalin’s mobilization economy. Remember Sergei Glazyev? You don’t hear about him anymore. That entire faction has been neutralized by the neoliberals who fought back around 2023.

    Then you have the government itself (Cabinet of Ministers), such as Prime Minister Mishustin and former Deputy PM (now Minister of Defense) Belousov that are the more soc dem, deficit spending type. For example, Mishustin did a decent job with government stimulus during Covid pandemic that prevented Russia from going into recession, and repeated pretty much the same thing during the Ukraine war.

    However, since the government itself does not control the central bank, it cannot make effective use of money creation to deficit spend. Remember the central bank of Russia works for the IMF and is effectively an agent of US imperialism. This is not a conspiracy or anything but simply the result of a monetary institution following the “best practices” taught by their enemy.

    The government has to rely on shuffling around funds, forcing private capital to spit out their money etc. in order to finance government subsidies. The central bank simply raised the key rate to an exceeding high rate of 20% to counter the increased government spending. There were a lot of movements for import substitution but ultimately there isn’t enough money to drive up a rapid expansion of productive capacity (this is almost the reverse situation than China that has a problem with over-investment and under-consumption lol).

    Finally, whether Putin is in on it or not is irrelevant, because it seems like even the nationalists holding key positions (like Glazyev) misjudged just how entrenched the liberals were in the political institutions and still command vast influence in the economic sphere.

    Unless you do a Stalin-style purge, you’re probably not going to get rid of them. But then, remember how Russia has been extremely lucky that there weren’t mass internal dissent after the war started. Any kind of political instability caused by an ongoing purge can easily plunge the Russian society into another deep crisis (exactly what the West hoped), and after the experience of the 1990s, I doubt anyone is willing to risk that again.

    Nor is Putin capable of achieving anything of such scale. One small mistake and the fragile country turns into a failed state, which is what Putin fears the most (that the Russian civilization will terminate in his hands). You have to remember that Stalin’s reforms came after a revolutionary fervor (the world’s first socialist revolution) and several years of bloody civil war. It was a very different historical circumstance back then. And even after Stalin’s death, the liberal policies immediately came back.

    The lesson here is clear: you really have to figure out how to deal with the liberals if you want to have a successful reform.

    • mkultrawide [any]@hexbear.net
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      8 days ago

      The lesson here is clear: you really have to figure out how to deal with the liberals if you want to have a successful reform.

      The nationalists should have taken a page out of the US playbook and used lawfare to lock up the liberals on corruption charges.

    • marx_ex_machina [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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      And even after Stalin’s death, the liberal policies immediately came back. The lesson here is clear: you really have to figure out how to deal with the liberals if you want to have a successful reform.

      And what I find baffling is that the United States, the consumer capital of the world, is able to run up this massive deficit, have this massive military, have the rest of the planet pay for it, and it’s like no one in power in the “BRICS” sphere is acting on that. Like, even these anti-western liberals don’t understand that? Idk, like you said, how would a left wing government even deal with this kind of ideological misstep, permanently?

      • xiaohongshu [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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        8 days ago

        To be fair, balancing the budget was important during the fixed exchange rate era, because spending more than what you tax in return can quickly lead to exchange rate depreciation.

        After the Bretton Woods in 1944, many countries quickly learned the lesson that pegging their currencies to the USD (and the USD in turn to gold) very much limited their fiscal spending space. They often had to endure the “stop-go” growth cycles, where after a period of deficit spending, the governments had to impose austerity to increase unemployment to stabilize the exchange rate, then as their popularity fall, they would restart spending in more stimulus in order to win elections.

        It isn’t a surprise that Bretton Woods eventually collapsed in the early 1970s. After that, the world entered the floating exchange rate era. At that point, the IMF and OECD began to push heavily the concept of NAIRU (non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment), which, in simple terms, redefined full employment from “ensuring the full employment of the available labor force” to “achieving a level of unemployment such that inflation doesn’t go up”.

        In other words, you must achieve this “natural rate of unemployment” to keep inflationary pressure down. That’s how they define “full employment” now. This made many countries very afraid of running expansionary fiscal policy to reduce and eliminate unemployment. They have believed in the neoclassical ideology that if you don’t have unemployment, you will get an inflationary spiral and it’s very bad for the economy.

        As a result, many developing countries (as well as developed countries like Germany, Australia etc.) turned to export-led growth strategy to accumulate foreign reserves as assets to balance out their fiscal spending (note this is not their only response, different countries also introduced varying measures of austerity etc.). Almost all of the trade surplus countries, including BRICS, believe in this logic. Once this is understood, it will not be a surprise to see that China, a socialist country, has high level of youth unemployment right now.

        The US itself also believe in this, of course. According to Michael Hudson, they were indeed panicking when Nixon ended the Bretton Woods, but the timely publication of Super Imperialism really explained how they could keep getting away with it using persistent trade deficit as an imperialist strategy to get free lunch all over the world.

        As a clarification point, because many people get confused by this, note that the US running persistent trade deficit has little to do with its ability, or any country’s ability, to run up deficit spending domestically.

        People will tell you it’s because the USD is the global reserve currency, but this is mistaking the consequence for the cause. The USD is the global reserve currency because it is the only country willing to deficit spend to import from the other exporter countries who have fully bought into the export-led growth strategy, so naturally those countries will accumulate USD simply as a result of running a trade surplus (export more than import) and they have no choice but to purchase US treasuries since there is nowhere else for their USD to go.

        This, of course, does not interfere with any government with a monetary sovereignty (currency issuer authority) wanting to run up its deficit spending domestically to ensure full employment and prioritize domestic investment. But many countries already believe in the neoclassical theory so they won’t do this.

        If I have time soon, I will perhaps write up how Stalin’s economy differed from these liberal economics and how the USSR under Stalin was pretty much unconstrained in its own domestic spending to drive investment and rapid expansion of the economy without having to suppress wages or rely on foreign capital investment, yet also experienced virtually no inflation as well as maintained full employment throughout. It is a direct repudiation of the neoclassical theory.

        • marx_ex_machina [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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          7 days ago

          I see, thank you for your insight. I should really just sit down and read Super Imperialism

          If I have time soon, I will perhaps write up how Stalin’s economy differed from these liberal economics and how the USSR under Stalin was pretty much unconstrained in its own domestic spending to drive investment and rapid expansion of the economy

          I’d be really interested in this!

    • Tomorrow_Farewell [any, they/them]@hexbear.net
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      Nor is Putin capable of achieving anything of such scale.

      And, considering the fact that Putin is a liberal, there aren’t even superstructural reasons for him to do so.

      which is what Putin fears the most (that the Russian civilization will terminate in his hands)

      You are trying to engage in mind-reading here, and your claim is contradicted by the fact that Putin was on the anti-communist side when anti-communists were rapidly destroying Russia.

      And even after Stalin’s death, the liberal policies immediately came back.

      Trying to equate attempts at liberalising the economy of the USSR in in the 60s-70s with the current situation is quite silly. The economy was still a planned economy, and the leadership was not a liberal government. The economy of Russia currently is very obviously not that, and the government has neither basic, nor superstructural reasons to turn it into a planned one.

    • vovchik_ilich [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      7 days ago

      Thanks for your knowledge again, comrade.

      You talk of monetary policy in Stalinism and after, is there anywhere I can have a good read about it?

      • xiaohongshu [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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        7 days ago

        Can you read Russian?

        Asymmetric Economy (Асимметричная экономика) (2012) by Kurman Akhmetov (pseudonym of the Kazakh economist Bakhytzhan Auelbekov) described extensively the economic model of Stalin’s USSR, particularly on the dual circuit monetary system.

        Valentin Katasonov’s Stalin’s Economy (Экономика Сталина) (2014) and Alexander Galushka’s Crystal Growth (Кристалл роста) (2020) also variously extended the research on the subject.

        Note that prior academic research on Stalin was very much limited or even distorted as the full rehabilitation did not occur until 2008 under Putin.

        However, perhaps the most comprehensive description and a primary source on the monetary system during Stalin’s time is A. D. Gusakov’s Money Circulation and Credit of the USSR (Денежное обращение и кредит СССР) published by Gozfinizdat (State Financial Publishing House) in 1951.

        It’s been a side project/hobby for me to slowly go through the books with machine translation to re-examine the genius of Stalin’s economic model with an MMT lens.

        • vovchik_ilich [he/him]@hexbear.net
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          7 days ago

          God, you’re awesome. I’m absolurely gonna download those and have a look through them. I assume that if you have any machine translations ready they’re to Chinese? I unfortunately can’t read Russian yet (though I’m in the process of learning)

          • xiaohongshu [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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            7 days ago

            I just translate to English paragraphs by paragraphs lol, it’s easier that way. I am very slowly working through them but it’s an interesting look at a system where there is virtually no source on it in English or any other languge.

            • vovchik_ilich [he/him]@hexbear.net
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              7 days ago

              While we’re at it and we’re talking Marxian economics: I take it you’ve read Paul Cockshott on his studies on the empirical evidence for Labor Theory of Value? Especially he cites some studies done for a variety of countries (Zachariah D, Labour Value and equalization of profit rates: a multi-country study).

              From what I’ve seen of Soviet economics during the Stalin eras, the mobilization of people from the farms to the factories was done without regard to the profitability of factories, taking primarily into account inputs and outputs of resources and labour. Is it possible that Marxists after Stalin and Mao simply gave up on Labour Theory of Value? I think there’s a very strong link between Marxian economics and MMT due to the understanding of money.

              Last note, totally unrelated: I saw some weird “Xi Winnie the Pooh” stuff on .world and I wanted to ask on your opinion of whether there are racist motivations to these depictions