venture capital discovers there’s no exit
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=THMhJd3XMhQ&list=UU9rJrMVgcXTfa8xuMnbhAEA - video
https://pivottoai.libsyn.com/20260320-openai-anthropic-spacex-to-trash-stock-market-ipos - podcast
time: 6 min 41 sec
How can I short this
Covered one attempt already!
https://awful.systems/post/7387786
Trouble is the sort of investment that’s uncorrelated right up to the moment you need it to be, at which point it crashes in lockstep
I don’t think all three will actually IPO, if any. But they do need to claim they are working on it to maintain plausible deniability. Why IPO when you can just keep raking in cash from gullible VCs without publicly flaunting your damning financial information? Not to mention wearing your crashing share prices like a cone of shame.
A lot of it is certainly imaginary cash, but there’s a lot of actual cash sitting in many of the bank accounts of the pre-IPO companies. Those companies are functionally running shadow markets at their discretion, with some light touch regulatory checks or possibly no checks.
I’m sure glad that the people screwing over literally everyone else on the planet for their own benefit aren’t going to screw over us, the investors. Surely there’s no way they could screw over the people who have been giving them a functionally blank check for nearly a decade.
Insert surprised Pikachu face here




