cross-posted from: https://lemmy.ml/post/45499964
Recently, Donald Trump has been saying that they are going to stop attacks on Iran very soon saying that Tehran has the “Will” for ceasefire. But does USA really plan to leave Iran? Iran on the other hand has been saying that USA is negotiating with itself.
Do you really think USA will leave Iran? Not at all, because if they do it now, mark my words, ‘Iran will make Nuclear Weapons within a year’. This invasion has given them them not just the political will but also the resources required to do so, as we are seeing a new alliance nexus in building i.e North Korea, Iran, China and Russia. Iran now has a justifiable reason to make Nuclear bombs and legitimise them.
And this is exactly why USA cannot leave now. They cannot afford a nuclear powered Iran and hence this ceasefire tactics seems no more than a method to buy some time for ground invasion.
The toughest part for USA will be ‘Iranian Terrain and its blessed Geography’. This is exactly why US’s Operation Eagle Claw failed. I may hate US for its lack of morality at times, but what I absolutely admire about it is its ability to learn from its mistakes. Its hard to believe that after that failed operation USA would have sat idly. They must have learned about Iranian Geography and what systems will be most suitable against them, and if that is so, this will be a major problem for Iran if USA plans ground invasion. USA’s all time friend Israel too has declared that they will not deploy troops in Iran in case of any ground invasion, which I had anticipated because Israel’s priorities are set. They want Lebanon, and once USA is engaged in Iran, Israel will let its army loose on Lebanon, hence taking a big chunk of Lebanon and destroying Hezbollah.
If USA really goes foots on the ground in Iran, no matter how harsh it sounds, but in current world order, no country stands near USA in raw power, USA will eventually emerge victorious and if that happens, Russia can simply annex Ukraine as it will then have a legitimate reason. Can be called a silent deal between two. If the war is too prolonged, China can eventually seize the opportunity and invade Taiwan, which might not get US support as it would be engaged in Iran and at the same time. That would be the perfect time for India as well to take all of Kashmir from Pakistan and China, India can easily overpower Pakistan and China will never engage on a two front war, it will obviously choose Taiwan over Aksai Chin as Taiwan is the means for CPC to legitimise itself. We can say, it will be like a silent deal between major powers, ofcourse only if USA does a ground invasion.
What do you think? Let me know. Join “BharatDefense”, we discuss this in even more detail there.
Jai Hind
Wtf? Russia has been trying and failing for YEARS.
Genuinely upset at western propaganda for breaking the brains of these dead enders so completely that nothing in the outside world can penetrate. The fact that you can still believe the myths and narratives from when they were actually putting money into it all the way out to now. You’ve gone from cope to cult.
Do you also believe Trump was a white hat pedophile trying to take down the Epstein ring?
It’s Western Propaganda that Ukraine hasn’t been defeated by Russia? Wtf copium are you on?
Trump is a pedophile who betrayed Ukraine. That was clear 10 years ago when he tried to blackmail Ukraine.
It’s western propaganda to believe that the Russian’s goal is annex Ukraine.
Ukraine would already have lost if not for NATO supplies
Do you really think Russia is failing, and even if it is, if USA launches a boots on the ground operation Iran, the resources would definitely shift from Ukraine to Iran where USA is directly engaged, and when this significant aid is stopped, Russia will definitely get an upper hand.
4 years into a 3 day special military operation to annex. Yes Russia has failed.
Trump has already abandoned Ukraine and the EU has filled in.
You didn’t get what I meant, lemme explain. See the world map and you will notice, in the east, Japan and South Korea have presence of US military, In the West (around central west more accurately), Turkey is a part of the NATO alliance and so is Poland in the West of Ukraine which also borders it. Now imagine how a country would feel being sorrounded by its worst enemy from all the sides, this would have had definitely become the case if Ukraine joined NATO if its biggest enemy, it is totally unacceptable and this is the exact reason of Russian aggression towards Ukraine. The thing is, Russia is deliberately not trying to end or win this war. If Russia captures all of Ukraine, then Poland and Romania will become its immediate neighbours who are already a part of the NATO. The problem would still remain the same. If Russia stops the war then Ukraine will immediately join NATO which it is not able to do now as NATO does not makes countries already engaged in war a part of it. The goal is to keep NATO away from immediate Russian neigborhood.
The best thing Russia can do is prolong the war to the extent which Ukraine cannot afford it, establish a puppet goverenment and leave, Ukraine in such a case would work as a wall between Russia and NATO.
There was a time when Russia considered joining NATO.
If Ukraine wanted to ally with another country, that’s their right. If Russia treated them better they’d choose Russia over the EU. Just like countries are choosing China over the US.
If you think Russia invading Ukraine is fine because it is in Russia’s economic interests then you must also believe the US blockading Cuba and attacking Venezuela is also fine.
The Russian invasion of Ukraine is now in its 5th year with Russian army just a few KM from where they started in 2022. It is pretty clear that Russia has already failed in Ukraine.
Now Russia has started calling in universities to start forcing the bottom 2% of college students to sign up for the army as drone operators in a sure sign that Russia is struggling to get the required numbers to sign up to die for mother Russia.
Russia has been on the back foot and losing territory for 2 months now, I would be surprised to see Russia come back from this shift in momentum now. I think the Iran war will not be a big enough distraction to steady the ship for Russia.
.ml lemmy’s really are different breed…
i havent been keeping track the Ukraine war all that much, i vaguely recall that the EU actually provides most of their material support now and that the US was more financial support? vould be wrong though
It’s become clear over the past several years that many ml users aren’t pro communism or against the US. They are only pro Russia/China.
They want Ukraine to fall to Russia even if the US isn’t involved.
If Iran goes hot-er do you think Iran is gonna send Russia any more drones?
They’re (a russian billionare atleast was) talking about instituting 12 day workdays in russia. Its not looking good.
12 days workdays?
Sounds quite harsh.
It was this gobshite suggesting a 12 hour work day.
Yep, more money to be made in a war the US is funding and fighting in directly than in some proxy war. Ukraine will get betrayed by the US again and be put in an even worse position than it ever has been.
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