Given the current state of partisan polarization, it’s unlikely Biden can get majority job approval next year even with the most fortunate set of circumstances. But the good news for him is that he probably doesn’t have to. Job-approval ratings are crucial indicators in a normal presidential reelection cycle that is basically a referendum on the incumbent’s record. Assuming Trump is the Republican nominee, 2024 will not be a normal reelection cycle for three reasons.
Not very true statistically to say DNC candidates are more likely to win with higher turnout. While data does show that DNC voters overall are more likely to sit elections out due to lower partisan loyalty than Republicans, there is a big misconception that voter turnout benefits Democrats when historically there hasn’t been any consistent correlation in the past 70 years. This view is likely caused by the fact that voting ease of access is a partisan stance upheld by the DNC.
I don’t remember my sources, you’ll have to either take my word for it or disagree and move along. You have the right to fact check this but not any obligation.