A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like “in Minecraft”) and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is from this article, of protestors in Mexico tearing down a steel fence.


While military, economic, and covert pressure on Venezuela and nearby countries in South America proper continues to mount, a similar process is occurring against Mexico, currently under the leadership of the very popular Sheinbaum, who has generally followed the footsteps of AMLO in terms of policies.

While figures in the Trump administration have made statements to the effect of wishing to bomb Mexican territory, internal pressure within Mexico is rather hard to generate when the government is doing generally positive things for people. As such, protests - comically denoted “Gen Z protests” despite young people being a vanishingly small proportion - have arisen in Mexico, very obviously astroturfed by pro-US and anti-Sheinbaum interests. The first protest, on November 15th, gathered less than 20,000 people, while the second, on November 20th, gathered perhaps 200. Article headlines suggesting that Mexico was “on the verge of collapse” have proven rather sensational and wishcast-y.

While it’s easy to poke fun at these farces (I certainly am), it’s important to keep in mind that soft coups have long been part of the American strategy in Latin America, and with unlimited money and many resources to throw at a project, even incompetent forces can eventually create enough chaos that it can make the ruling president or party feel forced to resign. Such eventualities are certainly not inevitable, and even weak states can provide enough resistance to force the US to try a hard coup instead, with outright bombing campaigns and covert military operations. Cuba has provided perhaps the best example in the western hemisphere of how such plots can be subverted with enough national support (e.g. the hundreds of times the CIA tried to kill/maim Castro, plus the Bay of Pigs debacle), but you do have to be willing to take extraordinary measures to do this - the sorts of measures figures like Chile’s Allende did not take in the 1970s, and the measures Venezuela’s Maduro appears to be taking right now. We shall see what path Sheinbaum takes.


Last week’s thread is here. The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • xiaohongshu [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    6 days ago

    He will be America’s Lenin. You’re seeing a lot of Hexbears coping because this place is too cynical/defeatist to take the W.

    Funnily enough, I have also been accused by some of those people as a “doomer” on this site.

    • jack [he/him, comrade/them]@hexbear.net
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      6 days ago

      He will be America’s Lenin.

      ok comrade cmon I know this must be a joke

      You’re seeing a lot of Hexbears coping because this place is too cynical/defeatist to take the W.

      I do agree that Mamdani is a W, but jumping to him being America’s Lenin is silly and I expect you know that. But I’ll share a little bit of info from my direct experience based on why Mamdani is such a big win for the left even if he himself is all of the bad things he’s been accused of by Hexbears and others.

      As everybody knows, I’m a very active PSL member. Last year, I had a prominent role in Ohio’s PSL presidential campaign. In the end, that was a huge success for the party, roughly doubling our membership nationwide and significantly increasing our public profile while building up the skills of a lot of cadre at doing direct political outreach. However, one low point locally was volunteer engagement. Over the whole course of the campaign, my city only managed about three volunteers. We put a huge amount of effort in the early months of the campaign to turn the high interest into active volunteers, but that attempt was absolutely a failure (only speaking locally, can’t say how it was in other states and I know another Ohio city managed a core of 10 or so consistent volunteers).

      A month ago, we launched our campaign for Senate in Ohio. Obviously not as high profile as a presidential race, but we have reason to believe that it’s the right strategy for the moment based on where the party’s at and what the political mood in the state and country is. And this weekend we held our first volunteer event, inviting people who’ve been interested to join us in putting up flyers all around the city. How many people showed up?

      All in all, in our first day of actual volunteer activity, we garnered about 45 people who showed up and put in hours of their day to promoting our campaign. Not just that, but this is no Dem primary - we are explicitly and firmly running as a revolutionary socialist third party with the intent of defeating the duopoly and turning these volunteers into a mass movement. And about 90% of these people cited Mamdani as a primary reason they wanted to get involved. He didn’t sheepdog them into the Democrats; he pulled them away from it, whatever his intent was. In a single day, more than 10x the volunteer engagement of an entire year - and that campaign was a wild success by every metric! Mamdani’s win, if we capitalize on it effectively, could easily triple or quadruple the size of the party in one of the country’s most politically significant states.

      The Mamdani effect is much bigger than who he is as a person, the organizaiton he’s involved in, or the city where he ran.

      • xiaohongshu [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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        6 days ago

        Thanks for sharing, you are doing great work!

        Yeah Mamdani’s win is more significant than many people think. It shows that left wing ideas are still popular in America, and not at all as portrayed by the more cynical here that America is a total lost cause and completely irredeemable.

        This is not to say the American left organizing is heading in the right direction (I have said before that the American left is not even at step one yet, they’re at step zero, with a lot of things still being figured out), but what is undeniable is that this is a clear referendum that left wing populism is still very much relevant.

        • carpoftruth [any, any]@hexbear.netM
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          6 days ago

          left wing ideas have been popular in America for a long time. the reason they aren’t enacted isn’t because there is a dearth of popularity, it’s because capital controls the commanding heights of the economy and isn’t beholden to popularity. there is no popular organization/coalition that has the material power to force politicians to realize popular ideas. concepts like main street before wall street, massive health care reform, stopping bullshit wars have been broadly popular with the american electorate since at least 2008 (that’s the wave obama rode) and yet all of those things have gotten materially worse since then.

          I am cynical about American electoral politics because capital has a demonstrated history of either co-opting or defanging left wing politicians and movements when they arise. See Obama/Acorn, Bernie, AOC, Jesse Jackson & the rainbow coalition, McGovern.

          • xiaohongshu [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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            6 days ago

            No disagreement there, and I agree criticism and even some level of cynicism against American social democracy (lol) is very much warranted, but I am still ready to give them the win here.

            It dispels the myth that I see being perpetuated in many radical left spaces that Americans would rather support fascism than a brown Muslim immigrant socialist. In fact, as I pointed out in another comment, white men (often deemed the most reactionary) turned out to be the ones that went the furthest for Mamdani than any other demographic, again dispelling the myth that white American men are all crypto-Nazis who want to turn the country into the Fourth Reich.

            Of course, you can say that social democracy is the moderate wing of fascism, but that’s putting the cart before the horse. The America left isn’t even close to that stage of political struggle yet. It is a nascent movement that still have a lot to learn.

    • Boise_Idaho [null/void, any]@hexbear.net
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      He will be America’s Lenin. You’re seeing a lot of Hexbears coping because this place is too cynical/defeatist to take the W.

      You really can’t say that the US left isn’t even at step 0 (true) and say that he’s the US’s Lenin. The US Lenin either hasn’t been born yet or is just a toddler at best. And Mamdani isn’t particularly young either. At his age, Mao was already in command of what would become the PLA and Castro had already overthrown Batista. Lenin himself was around Mamdani’s age right now when the 1905 Revolution happened. Mamdani’s a bit too old to have any serious political development outside of gradual shift over decades. What you see is what you get.

      Currently, there’s no US equivalent of Lenin or the Bolsheviks. There’s no real US equivalent of the Narodniks either, which can’t be ignored either in understanding the Bolsheviks. The Narodniks failed so the Bolsheviks can succeed after all. People talk shit about the Narodniks for being adventurists, but the US left wishes they were half as effective as the Narodniks. Forget the Bolsheviks, the US left can’t even rise to the level of the Narodniks.

      I think Palestine Action US and Lugi (allegedly) liquidating that CEO, while not being the US equivalent of Narodniks themselves, are glimmers of what US Narodniks would look like. There’s a difference between cowardly nerds who get social anxiety talking to strangers saying adventurism doesn’t work and ex-adventurists realizing after doing adventurism that adventurism doesn’t work. Direct political experience is needed to weed out the hacks and cowards from the principled and brave. With this crop of revolutionaries, a further crucible is needed to weed out people with terrible ideas (“Without revolutionary theory there can be no revolutionary movement.”). It’s from this crucible that a US Lenin would emerge from.

    • hellinkilla [they/them, they/them]@hexbear.net
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      Even taking the most optimistic view of mamdani, it’s a lot of personality + right place right time. Opponents being disorganized, doomed losers hated by all. Do we even know what his actual political goals and motivations are? Everything I have seen is directed at an audience who is primarily less left than he is. It is a lot of gently explaining why free buses are OK and such.

      Is there any reason to think there is some sort of plan here? A theory of change? Or is he just less of a coward and more competent than other grumbling leftlibs? Is there a plan to build power? Volunteers to doorknock are nice but only powerful in so much as they can make decisions collectively and enforce them against resistance. And hate to say it but he is extremely vulnerable to getting knocked off. If that happens before he has sufficiently built up replacement leadership then it’ll all be a sad memory of what couldv’e been.

      • xiaohongshu [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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        All of what you’re saying is true, but that doesn’t take away the significance of Mamdani, who has become a beacon of hope upon whom the rest of the movement in the US could rally around, as another poster has commented that their campaign saw a huge surge of support because of Mamdani.

        It is an important victory and milestone for the American left. This doesn’t mean they are on the right track (as I’ve always said, they’re not even at step one yet, they are still at step zero) but we cannot deny them the win.

        • hellinkilla [they/them, they/them]@hexbear.net
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          5 days ago

          idk sounds like how people talked about blm, dapl, migrant worker strike, revolutionary labor, occupy, barak obama, anti war, anti globalization (battle of seattle anyone?)… various other intervening episodes I can’t even remember off the top of my head. if i really thought about it, i could make a list 5x as long staying in the 20th c.

          i hope you’re right but ime these things come around every couple years. it’s part of the rhythm and sustenance of capitalism. everytime we get a few people. people who are attracted to the tactic being employed. why do you think this is better than the above? and if it is, what is the plan if buddy gets knocked off?

    • ProletarianDictator [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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      6 days ago

      I want whatever you’re having.

      He’s Bernie Sanders 2. One that hopefully teaches the American left the necessity of ground level proletarian organization and that demsocs will be inevitably neutralized under a bourgeois system.