Boise_Idaho [null/void, any]

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Cake day: January 8th, 2024

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  • We’ve got to stop taking armchair warlord slop seriously. He’s been wrong about almost everything. Same with simplicous, moon of Alabama, all these posters. Simplicous said this war was only going to last a few days. Moon of Alabama has been denying that the F-15Es got shot down by Kuwaiti forces, even when it’s on video. These guys hate of the US is blinding their analysis. They already look silly now that the war has lasted over three weeks, when they said only a few days of bombing is possible.

    I haven’t found any live feed source more reliable than them on military matters honestly. I was hoping that AoR social media could be a substitute, but the collapse of Assad’s Syria sadly proved me wrong. The fact is that MSM journos and leftist commentators have a lower batting average than some Sinophobic Aussie who thinks every large explosion is set off by a tactical nuke. Obviously, there’s going to be military journals and blogs that are more knowledgeable than these cranks, but those military articles aren’t being published daily on top of being heavily slanted towards portraying Western imperialism in a favorable light, which will obviously affect their analysis on military matters. Reactionary malding about globohomo and trans people doesn’t necessarily have any impact on an analysis on whether the US has air superiority within Iranian airspace.

    As of now, I use Aussie-crank-who-thinks-every-large-explosion-is-a-tactical-nuke et al for military analysis, AoR social media for political, cultural, and religious analysis, and Marxist commentators on economic analysis. It seems to give a pretty workable analysis that’s also pretty fast in reacting to immediate events.


  • Richard Medhurst believes the point of this war for the USA is to dominate the global LNG markets. Destroying Iranian gas and Gulf state gas in one blow, taking Russia out of the picture with the Ukraine coup and war and Nordstream destruction, America is the largest LNG exporter on Earth. They are at capacity already but are making crazy profits, and it will only continue to increase.

    I’ve seen some people float around this idea. I still think this is at best a Plan B or a Plan C, Plan A being of course thinking that they could commence regime change by assassinating Khamenei.

    Their original plan was to commence regime change by assassinating Khamenei. After the assassination just united Iranians, their next plan was to decisively defeat Iran in a military confrontation within a few days. Now that the decisive defeat is out of reach, Plan C is to destroy LNG production in WANA. The Zionist entity bombing Iranian gas plants was them doing their job as the US’s attack dog. They play the heel while the US gets to be the face because “we didn’t tell the Israelis to bomb those gas plants.”

    That’s how you’re supposed to strategize. You’re supposed to have contingencies upon contingencies upon contingencies. When something blows up in your face, you pivot towards something else. Much like how the CIA isn’t particularly competent but can have near infinite amount of tries, perhaps after multiple plans blowing up in their faces, the US has finally stumbled upon a plan that actually makes some amount of sense.

    I don’t think it’s beyond the realm of possibility for the US to go “fuck it, let’s completely destroy WANA with the Zionist entity as the suicide bomber. At least we won’t cede WANA to Russia and China.” The Samson Option is just the US telling the Zionist entity to put on the suicide vest.