The real indicator that an invasion is imminent is when Taiwanese capitalists suddenly all flee to the Mainland en masse.

The status quo is just soft reunification. The CPC is content with turning Taiwan into a de facto SEZ without firing a single shot. I also suspect that the CPC doesn’t want to incorporate millions of “I’m not Chinese, I’m Taiwanese” Chinese people into China proper lest they spread separatist ideas to other Chinese provinces. The PRC wants to hold onto Taiwan but from a distance.

And as you said, the DPP’s hold on the island isn’t that strong. There have been numerous protests against Lai already. The ROC military is also pathetic (just watch footage put out by the ministry of defense), and the institution is still a KMT institution anyways. Taiwan is also completely reliant on imported fuel for its energy needs, so the PRC doesn’t even need to launch an amphibious assault but could just blockade the island.

At this point, I think it’s mostly kayfabe. In any capitalist society, if you control the capitalists, you control the society. If nothing else, Taiwanese capitalists are too busy making money from the Mainland to rock the boat too hard and most Taiwanese people know that they’re absolutely fucked if the PLA invades Taiwan.

They are pro-Resistance. I have seen some of their articles mention Lenin and Mao and how their works relate to the current situation, so they’re good overall.

Timeline of how long it takes for color revolution elements to commandeer legit protests. Notice how students join the protests after color revolution elements have already taken over the protests. To their credit, the students are pro-Iran:
https://xcancel.com/AryJeay/status/2006540062599565732

• Day 1: Shopkeepers protest against inflation - Iran’s enemies silent, just realised

• Day 2: Peaceful protests limited to only shopkeepers - Iran’s enemies are waking up and advertise calls to flood the streets for their own agenda but no protest so far: creating AI videos & fake audio dubbed over video

• Day 3: Shopkeepers’s rightful protest largely overshadowed by anti-Iran propaganda || minimal protest among shopkeepers || students join protests; mainly pro-Iran protests against corrupted officials — Iran’s enemies trying really hard to activate their riot leading agents to steer up peer pressure and get people to riot.

• Day 3, evening: Minimal concentrated protests/riots in small counties. Organized masked groups with clear instructions. Consist of 10-50 people || vandalism, organised armed attacks, deliberate attacking of law enforcement by trained individuals. — AI used to enhance videos.

https://xcancel.com/Ollie_Vargas_/status/2006186523159584916

Bus drivers in southern La Paz join the strike. Their corrupt union leaders signed a deal with govt promising not to mobilize, but members have rejected it and graffitied ‘traitors’ on the union office.

Not ‘ever again’, I must correct myself, in a mere 97 more years Europe will have completed its century of humiliation.

The Century of Humiliation was 110 years, so it’s actually 107 more years.

https://english.almayadeen.net/news/politics/niger-bars-us-citizens-in-reciprocal-move-to-washington-s-tr

Niger has indefinitely barred US citizens from entering the country, presenting the move as a sovereign and reciprocal response to Washington’s decision to impose travel restrictions on Nigerien nationals.

https://peoplesdispatch.org/2025/12/22/mali-recovers-over-usd-1-2-billion-after-renegotiating-mining-deals/

Mali’s government announced earlier this month that it has secured more than 761 billion CFA francs (about USD 1.2 billion) in unpaid revenue from mining companies following a comprehensive audit and renegotiation of contracts in the extractive sector, making it one of the most significant resource governance interventions in the country’s recent history.

You think sending troops or their navy to Venezuela,

I don’t think the PRC can even do that. They would basically have to sail 3/4 across the world because there’s 0% chance the US vassal state Panama would allow them passage through the Panama Canal. The PLAN would have to sail across the Indian Ocean past the Cape of Good Hope to get to Venezuela. Sailing past Cape Hope makes no sense owning to the hostility of the weather and waters.

At the end of the day, the SU was a military superpower first and foremost while the PRC is an economic superpower. The US is getting owned on the economic front, so they’re pivoting to the military front where the US still has an edge over the PRC. The PRC will make allies through opportunities for economic development while the US will drop the military hammer to keep them in line. No one wants to do business if their investment is just going to be bombed to shit, after all. Expect countries that sign on to the BRI to be attacked by the US as punishment for signing on to the BRI. The time for a soft power approach is over especially since October 7 has destroyed every ounce of soft power credibility the US has but also exposed that soft power doesn’t mean a rat’s ass compared with hard power.

If the BRI is the modern Silk Road, the US is playing the part of marauders and pirates waylaying Silk Road traders and stealing their shit. To continue this analogy, the PRC needs to play the part of security escorting those trader through hostile roads. This means investing in their military. Right now, the PLAN has a grand total of three (3) aircraft carriers. Two needs to be kept close to the PRC due to Taiwan/the Philippines/Japan/ROK, so the PLAN can actually only use one (1) aircraft carrier for saber-rattling/interventionist/brinksmanship purposes. The USN has 11 carriers and even if you subtract 4 for the two coastlines, that’s still 7 carriers. It’s 7 carriers vs 1 carrier.

By far the biggest gap is the gap in the number of overseas military bases. It’s 800+ vs 3. Much of those 800+ military bases boils down to the US overthrowing leaders with a degree of independence and installing compradors and vassals who then rubberstamp US bases sprouting up in their country where US troops commit SA against the local women. The PRC thus far has marketed itself as a noninterventionist country, which means countries are not exactly falling over themselves to open up military bases for the PRC especially given the aforementioned experience of US troops SA and committing crime in general. Imagine if Venezuela and the PRC had a military alliance. That would mean military cooperation, which means a Chinese military base in Venezuela in practical terms. Chinese troops are not just going to just show up in some random Venezuelan port and sleep at random Venezuelan hotels. But would the people of Venezuela actually agree to this?

Political power grows out of sticks of dynamite:
https://xcancel.com/Ollie_Vargas_/status/2003025820072477066

Bolivia: 60 buses full of mineworkers are heading towards the capital for the start of the indefinite general strike against austerity measures.

Many of them are carrying dynamite, normally a work tool but often used in protests.

Video from Luna Oi about the ongoing conflict between Cambodia and Thailand:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Gl3tjEBXhLg

She briefly goes over the ceasefire from the previous border conflict. The timeline of the conflict and she explaining the geopolitical stance of Cambodia and Thailand with respect to China and the US starts at 6:44.

https://xcancel.com/Ollie_Vargas_/status/2002166029389267437:

Bolivia’s workers unions announce an indefinite general strike against the neoliberal austerity measures announced this week.

No dialogue or negotiation, all the measures must be repealed first. No honeymoon period for the right-wing govt.

By this standard, virtually nothing outside of breaking out of prison or killing prison guards would work. And being able to pull those two off is orders of magnitude harder than a hunger strike.

A specter is haunting Elbit Systems - the specter of Palestine Action:
https://www.thecanary.co/uk/news/2025/12/19/elbit-shutdown/

A group of protesters have shut down the entrance to a factory belonging to Elbit Systems. The halt of Israel’s weapons supplier is one of the key demands of the anti-genocide activists. Eight prisoners, all being held on remand for allegedly taking action in solidarity with Palestine, have been on open ended hunger strike since the 2 November in British prisons. This is the biggest coordinated prison hunger strike in UK prisons since the 1981 H-block strike in the North of Ireland. Six of the hunger strikers have been hospitalised so far. Despite the enormity of the strike, the media coverage has been minimal, and the government fails to respond.

We don’t conflate Shintoists as an ethnic group even though the vast majority of Shintoists belong to a single ethnic group and most people of that ethnic group perform Shinto rituals at least on a cultural level. Imagine some dude walking around saying they have “Shinto blood.”

Oh piss off Jewish is absolutely an ethnicity, if you want to get super technical you can divide it into several distinct ones but that’s pathological for this convo.

No, it is not. There are various ethnicities which have cultural affinity with Judaism, but this is true for many ethnicities with respect with religion. Armenians and Georgians have traditionally been Christians, Uyghurs and Hui have traditionally been Muslim, Thai and Tibetans have traditionally been Buddhist, etc. Pakistan tried pulling the “we are one big happy South Asian Muslim ummah family” card, but Bangladeshis still fought for and won their independence.

This-could’ve-been-an-email ass speech

Now I know how it feels like to have to fly thousands of miles from my cushy office to hear a drunk rank about how the soldiers under my command are all too fat.

https://www.thecanary.co/skwawkbox/2025/12/16/israeli-prisonremoveds/

Far-right lawyers acting for four members of a group of Israeli prison guards exposed when footage of them anallyremoved a helpless Palestinian prisoner have announced the legal defence they will be filing if they are prosecuted: theyremovedd in ‘self-defence’.

A poll by Israel’s Institute for National Security Studies found that only 21% of Israelis believe soldiers thatremoved Palestinian prisoners should face criminal prosecution.

🚨Urgent: MintPress is being financially censored by Indiegogo who is refusing to provide us with our $50,000 payout for our fundraiser:
https://xcancel.com/MintPressNews/status/2000673878603882702

Dear supporters,

Indiegogo has cancelled our fundraising campaign and will not provide us with our $51,000 payout that we raised through the fundraising platform for our campaign: Help Keep MintPress Alive.

Their reason: our project did not meet their guidelines.

This is an unacceptable reasoning that we were provided with only today, nearly three months after our campaign ended in October.

I have been trying to get our payout from Indiegogo since the campaign ended.

In addition, MintPress has used Indiegogo to raise funds to support our independent journalism projects for nearly a decade.

Indiegogo did say that all donations will be refunded back to donors.

But why now?

We don’t know for sure, however, we suspect that this is part of a coordinated financial attack against MintPress as we were also recently banned from GoFundMe and Paypal for our journalism that exposes the architects of the forever war machine.

In the last year alone, MintPress News has exposed a network of Israeli spies from Unit 8200 working within big tech & media.

Our independent investigative journalism has been at the forefront of exposing the architects of the US forever war machine and Zionist influence over our political system and national security state.

We believe this is a coordinated attack against dissenting journalism that holds the military elite accountable that keep endless wars possible.

MintPress will not back down and ask ask that you stand with us.

MintPress is 100% reader supported and we are STILL AT RISK OF SHUTTING DOWN due to being financially targeted unless we meet our fundraising goals.

We need your support NOW more than ever.

We thank you for standing with us to support our 14 year long legacy of providing independent watchdog journalism and helping us push back against this censorship.

We are organizing and planning the steps we need to take against Indiegogo .

In the meantime we hope you will help us raise awareness against the sanctions regime that is targeting its own citizens and our protected right of journalism.

– Mnar Adley Founder & Director