Image is of a Khorramshahr-4 medium range ballistic missile, which has a range of about 2000km.
As I said in the last megathread, trying to figure out what exactly is happening is becoming ever more difficult. The gist of things is that Iran has, very justifiably, refused to negotiate (assassinating their leader and striking their country with hundreds of missiles in the middle of negotiations causes some reluctance to return to the table, I suppose). Censorship across the Middle East has further ramped up, with reportedly extreme punishments for posting footage of Iranian strikes online. From what I can gather, Iran’s number of strikes have stabilized at a comfortable daily rate, with strikes into both the Gulf monarchies and Occupied Palestine continuing apace. Official charts of these strikes over time seem very disconnected from reality on the ground, but again, it’s hard to really get at the specifics.
The messaging on how long the war is expected to last is rather muddled on both sides. The Trump administration fluctuates more than daily - and even sometimes in the same speech - on whether the war is already won or whether it’s going to last months longer. The US seems to be coming up a new possible scheme every few hours: a ground invasion with the Kurds? A ground invasion without the Kurds? An amphibious assault? A series of commando operations to steal Iranian uranium? A massive parachuting operation into Tehran? Fuck it, let’s just send the Navy into the Strait of Hormuz? There doesn’t seem to be a coherent plan for continuing hostilities beyond firing more and more of a limited stockpile of cruise missiles into mostly non-military targets, hitting easily replaceable drone and missile launchers with a limited stockpile of drones, and burning a limited stockpile of interceptors at an astounding rate (and, in the process, disarming every other Western-aligned country of their interceptors).
Meanwhile, from Iran, I’ve seen rumors and reports from classic anonymous “senior IRGC officials” (no doubt some invented by Zionists to sow confusion), that I don’t know how to substantiate, ranging anywhere from “If the US pulls back their forces now, we will restart negotiations,” to “It doesn’t matter what the US or the Zionists do or say, we aren’t stopping until every last trace of Zionism in the Middle East has been extinguished,” to a few positions in between those poles. Despite the damage to infrastructure in Iran, it doesn’t seem like there has been any political or social fracturing. Not to speak too soon - perhaps the West will start earnestly trying to overfly Iranian territory to drop their very plentiful bombs soon - but every indication is that there will be no regime change nor societal collapse in Iran in the short and medium term.
The US is desperately trying - and mostly failing - to keep a lid on the economic firestorm they have ignited. There has been much ado about oil prices and oil futures and indexes and what all the myriad Lines going up and down signify and things like that, which is befitting such a financialized empire which is so disconnected from the actual physical flows of materials and much more attuned to vibes and speeches. The only thing I’m personally paying much attention to on the economic front is the drones and missiles slamming into fossil fuel infrastructure, the Hormuz blockade, and the resulting global shockwave of shortages, stoppages, closures, bankruptcies, and force majeures spreading out from the epicenter that is Iran.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
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The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Reply to this post with additional material on how to participate in the anti-war movement.
Site is starting to slow down for some. please upload videos to other sites then post the link here instead of directly embedding them into the site. If you have posted embedded videos to this page before, when you have the time, please edit your comments containing the videos and swap them out for off-site links.
Try to follow rule 6 a bit harder while the conflict is actively ongoing to keep the news mega clear and on topic.
General notice: do not use dd geopolitics as a source of information as it it ran by the fascist party ACP and its fascist collaborators.
Stop posting AI slop to the mega. If you can’t verify something, don’t post it.
CNN
Trump says Iran war will end when he feels it “in my bones”
President Donald Trump said he will know when the war with Iran is over when he feels it “in my bones,” offering yet another personal measure for when the conflict might come to an end. Asked during a phone interview, aired Friday on “The Brian Kilmeade Show” on Fox Radio, when he will know the war is finished, Trump responded: “When I feel it, OK, feel it in my bones.”
Moments earlier in the interview, the president suggested the conflict may not last much longer. “I don’t think it’s going to be long when it’s over,” Trump said. The United States and Israel have continued military operations against Iran following the start of their assault on February 28. Since the campaign began, Trump has offered differing signals about how long the conflict could continue.
Heartbreaking news fellow patriots!
COPECOM confirms: All Crew Members of U.S. KC-135 Loss in Iraq Confirmed Deceased. (…) The circumstances of the incident are under investigation. However, the loss of the aircraft was not due to hostile fire or friendly fire.
Most likely causes of death:
- Overdosing on caramel banana frappuchinos
- Sepsis caused by stepping on rusty sporks while exiting the burning fuel plane
- Havana syndrome
AP
Kharg Island news
Trump dismisses question about U.S. interest in seizing crucial Iranian island
The president, in an interview on Fox News Radio that aired Friday, was asked if he’s thinking about taking Kharg Island. The small island in the Persian Gulf is the primary terminal through which all of Iran’s oil exports pass. “I can’t answer a question like that,” Trump said calling it a “foolish” question. “It’s one of so many different things, it’s not high on the list.”
He added that “I can change my mind in seconds.”
Iran’s parliament speaker warned on Thursday that any attack on Iran’s southern islands would provoke a new level of retaliation.
“I can change my mind in seconds.” We all knew that for years already but it’s so funny to hear him say it!
Al Jazeera
“We’re going to be hitting them very hard over the next week.”
Trump has said in an interview that US forces would be carrying out intense strikes against Iranian targets in the coming days, as the war escalates throughout the Middle East as it heads into its third week. “We’re going to be hitting them very hard over the next week,” Trump told Fox News Radio.
The volume of Iranian missile and drone strikes is down more than 90 percent. US will “keep pressing” forward in the war, adding that “today will yet again be the highest volume of strikes that America has put over the skies of Iran and Tehran.” US and Israel have achieved major military success in their offensive, collectively hitting more than 15,000 targets in Iran.
How many times have they lost 90% of their arsenal by now? They must have had like one bajillion launchers at the start of March, eh?
Iran’s Missile Launcher Arsenal Holds Steady Despite Strikes - Bloomburg
Who would’ve imagined you’d have trouble bombing every missile-launcher sized object in a country that would stretch from London to Athens, is almost entirely massive mountains, and contains nearly 100 million people?
The Grand Epstein Coalition really thought they could be like ”Hey chatgpt, tell me where every missile launcher in Iran is right now.” and that it would actually work. These people are so fucking stupid.
US Secretary of War, Pete Hegseth “The only thing prohibiting transit in the strait right now is Iran shooting at shipping. It is open to transit should Iran not do that”
??? “Yeah we opened the strait, it’s fine, if Iran doesn’t do the one thing that’s stopping the strait from being open it would be open, so we’re winning. Thank you for your attention in this matter.”
European countries including France have opened talks with Tehran seeking to negotiate a deal to guarantee safe passage for their ships through the Strait of Hormuz, according to people briefed on the efforts, in a bid to restart energy shipments from the Gulf.
Italian defence minister Guido Crosetto [who was “vacationing” in Dubai when this war started!!] said in an interview with Corriere della Sera published on Friday: “We are trying to get Europe to speak with a single, united voice . . . pushing for two key points. The first is to officially request . . . to allow ships from countries that are not at war to pass through Hormuz.”
The vassals are getting anxious. This kind of negotiation with Iran will presumably lead nowhere, especially given the EU just placed more sanctions on Iranaian officials for uh idk defending themselves, but it does demonstrate that even Europe is beginning to realise their vassalage to the Americans is a liability if their supply of oil can just be cut off at a whim.
If the Europeans were really serious about this, the very easy option is to drop sanctions and restart oil shipments from Russia, but I don’t think they’re quite there yet in their thinking. If this goes on for a month or two though…
Per https://www.ft.com/content/96b8e0a4-9ecb-4e07-a96d-7debcfe3bfa6
Iceland, Netherlands join South Africa’s ICJ case against Israeli genocide in Gaza
Iceland and the Netherlands have filed declarations to intervene in South Africa’s genocide case against Israel at the International Court of Justice (ICJ), the United Nations’ highest court.
The move by the two European countries took place on Thursday, bringing to 18 the number of countries seeking to participate in the proceedings.
Colombia, Libya, Mexico, Palestine, Spain, Turkey, Chile, the Maldives, Bolivia, Ireland, Cuba, Belize, Brazil, the Comoros, Belgium and Paraguay have already joined the case.
[…]
The Palestinian Hamas resistance group welcomed the move by the two European countries, describing it as an important step towards strengthening the principle of international justice.
More
In January 2024, the court ordered the occupying regime to take all necessary measures to stop any genocide against Palestinians and allow humanitarian aid into Gaza, but Israel has kept ignoring the ruling.
In its declaration, Iceland said the ICJ should consider whether actions such as deprivation of food, shelter or medical care could constitute conditions of life intended to destroy a protected group.
It also emphasized the particular vulnerability of children in assessing serious bodily or mental harm.
Professor William Schabas, a preeminent authority on genocide and international criminal law, has said that the ongoing genocidal war in Gaza could lead to significant legal repercussions for Israel and its allies.
Meanwhile, the Netherlands said in its filing that forced displacement and the withholding of humanitarian aid could, depending on the circumstances, contribute to acts prohibited under the Genocide Convention.
The Palestinian Hamas resistance group welcomed the move by the two European countries, describing it as an important step towards strengthening the principle of international justice.
It further called on all countries to support the lawsuits brought against Israel and its officials in international tribunals.
Israel launched its genocidal war on Gaza on October 7, 2023, but it agreed to a ceasefire two years later after failing to achieve its objectives.
Since then, however, Israel has been violating the truce, killing more than 72,000 Palestinians, mostly women and children, during the war and after it.
Better late than never I suppose?
📹Marches across Iran in support of new leader
There have been huge marches across Iran showing support for new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei
videos shows what must be 10,000 people minimum, really hard to tell, the street is packed
I didn’t see this mentioned yet.
Trump threatens new attacks on Iran: “Watch what happens to these deranged scumbags today.”
https://xcancel.com/DropSiteNews/status/2032334093388541966#mTrump also accused major media outlets, including the New York Times, of falsely suggesting the United States is losing the war.
“And now I, as the 47th president of the United states, am killing them. What a great honor it is to do so!”
It appears more of the Epstein forces got got in Saudi Arabia
Breaking via @CBSNews: There was another U.S. military medical evacuation flight today. It flew from Saudi Arabia to a U.S. base in Germany with about 19 injured service members on board. Among them were two military members injured when a drone exploded next to their vehicle, sources told me.
https://xcancel.com/JenniferJJacobs/status/2032226770456355029
I want to ask you all about your opinion of lack of manufactured consent.
I feared that epstein files will make ruling class more comfortable realizing they won’t be punished for even the most fucked up crimes. which seems to be also evident on lack of any propaganda build up on iran war, completly contrary to iraq war. do you think this is all temporary or it will continue like this
“america deindustrialized so extensively, we can’t even manufacture consent anymore”
NEWS: The man who rammed his explosives-laden truck into a Michigan synagogue today was named Ayman Ghazaleh, according to a source familiar with the situation. Ghazaleh posted photos overnight of his family members, including young children, who were killed in a recent Israeli attack on the town of Mashghara, Lebanon. This is a developing story.
