• Corkyskog@sh.itjust.works
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    1
    ·
    edit-2
    16 hours ago

    Nah, war with Iran can’t last any real length of time, America would collapse first. Maybe if their allies were on board and enemies not actively working with Iran.

    Think about this, the oil markets skyrocketed in overnight trading and were on track to skyrocket on March 9th before Trump admin lied about escorting a tanker and then later Europe announces its going to release 400M Barrel emergency release and then the US announces 172M barrel release. If those 20M barrels aren’t getting through each day that’s 29 days of time before the market goes to the moon. It’s already been 3 weeks.

    There is no way this lasts as long as Russo-Ukraine has so far. I would be shocked if it lasted longer than six months and I anticipate it to be basically over in 6 weeks with Iran giving some publicly dramatic but unsubstantial concessions and the Trump giving extremely huge substantial concessions, but hand-waving it away as the best for America. Like removing from all of the bases in the area and not enforcing what currency oil is traded in. Maybe they will compromise with some god forsaken crypto solution to settlement.

    If it lasts longer than 6 weeks that means inflation the likes most Americans have never witnessed. Words like impeachment and criminal trials will start to become a lot more common when gas goes to $10 a gallon and a banana is $5.