Id be shocked if this doesn’t happen in 20.
So ten years or so?
well, IPCC was saying we wouldn’t make it past 2030 so no worries …
Haha. 50 years is naively optimistic. There’s going to be widespread civil unrest due to food costs and shortages within the next 20 years, in most countries.
Agricultural productivity requires stable, predictable weather. As the weather and seasons continue to grow more extreme and less predictable, the global output of most crops will fall. This can only lead to inflation unless demand reduces proportionally to supply (many tens/hundreds of millions of excess deaths per annum). When I plan for retirement, I assume a rate of inflation double what it has been the last 30 years at the very least - that’s my most optimistic scenario.
If the rain stops falling where the farms are, or where the lakes and dams can capture it, we’re fucked. We can’t desalinate the amount of water agriculture or cities require, without releasing significantly more GHG’s, anytime in the foreseeable future.
These models always used flawed projections. They always assume that the amount of land we are using now is required to feed the population.
We need less than 20% of the land we are currently using to supply the entire projected maximum earth population in the next 70 years. Of course it’s extremely expensive and will require commited effort and consensus to achieve.
So we are fucked.
Experts: “this could happen within 50 years.”
Randos on the internet: “hah, half that.”
Scientists: people will say we’re overreacting if we give the media the most likely figure, give them the best case scenario number.
And guess whose usually right.
Pretty much. It’s a statistical thing though, so sooner isn’t impossible; it’s just not likely.
And the longer the Tories remain in power, the more guaranteed that fate is.
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No, but Tories will fail to prepare because it means less profit for their donors.
If only there was some kind of union they could join that could help them deal with this and protect them from ending up as a starving, powerless backwater of a country.
Stock your freezers with the rich now!
