That is embarrassingly low.
Sub 20% turn out for under 30’s in TX is more embarrassing.
They’re bad, but Texans don’t vote. The laws don’t nearly begin to explain the turnout numbers.
As a former Texan, it’s quite difficult to vote. The work culture there makes it even harder but the state also purposely makes it as inconvenient as possible. If you’re low income and don’t have vacation time or anything like that it’s really hard to get out and vote in-person. Now I’m in a state with mail-in voting by default and Texas makes me even more sick when I saw how easy it’s supposed to be.
More people could definitely make more of an effort there, but the barriers to vote shouldn’t be overlooked imo
Colorado? I grew up here and worry I don’t know how good I actually have it. I wouldn’t know where to begin if a ballot didn’t auto-magically appear in my mailbox. The system backing it up is so good that when it doesn’t show up magically, a new one is a phone call and a short walk away.
If I don’t want to put a stamp on my ballot, I walk a half mile to drop it off
Colorado?
Oregon! That’s cool to learn that Colorado is set up the same way. I wish it was implemented on a national scale though.
Imagine if you lived in a state where voting in person is so quick and easy that’s it’s not worth sending in the mail in ballot automatically sent
I have that option too, I just like to not wear pants when I vote now. They frowned on that when I tried to do that in person.
Then what does? And what’s the solution?
Because I don’t buy that Texans are just inherently worse citizens.
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It’s terrifying if you consider the norm. Trump has something like 70+ felony counts, arguably the worst orator in history, and a verified rapist.
He’s still getting around 35-40% support consistently.
It’s fucking terrifying how good the Fox propaganda machine is.
Personally, I find it far more terrifying how utterly stupid and gullible the average person is.
and half of all people are even dumber.
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He lost the popular vote, twice
The average person isn’t our problem, our political system is
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Yeah the last few years since Covid especially have taught me that however utterly stupid and gullible we thought people were as you said, it turns out they are WAY stupider than we ever dreamed possible. And THAT is what is terrifying to me - I already knew people were plenty dumb so to see firsthand how badly I overestimated them…
When you consume talk radio, Facebook, and Fox News, it understandable that you would think he is the greatest President ever. He’s not, he was the worst President ever.
Very unpopular opionion: He’s a very good orator, even though he can’t form a coherent sentence. He gets his points across with out actually speaking them. His followers hear him on a purely emotional level and he inspires their extreme loyalty and devotion.
Some people process loss or being lied to in different ways. And some people take time to process that loss more than others.
Denial: The election was stolen!
Anger: We have to storm the capital!
Bargaining: We were just trying to protect our democracy.
Depression: Biden is just as bad. <----- Most people are here.
Acceptance: Trump committed election fraud and is going to prison for itThough I think many MAGA folk will be stuck on depression for quite some time.
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Give them time. They can still make their way around to
“See? I always said he was a crook.”
That’s actually the first time I’ve heard anybody express it like that. Very interesting and somewhat hopeful.
If Biden had 70 felonies would you vote for him or Trump?
Trump wouldn’t be trump if he didn’t have 70 felonies though.
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Yes, I read what you wrote…30% of people are bat shit crazy and will vote for anything.
Trump consistently polls above that threshold…that’s a terrifying number and it’s not statistically normal.
I agree with you. Virtually everything l, even random totally trivial matters of taste/opinion come out 50/50 these days. The country is deeply polarized. For anything to come out with a 2:1 margin is a landslide. Trump is a huge loser. I just hope he stays in the race long enough to sink the Republicants.
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I agree and…
Whyshouldistopyellingatyou?
BecauseImDoingMyBest
YouShouldDoMyBestThen
Lolyouguys
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Teachers Aid lol
It is Andrew Tate’s sock puppet. /s
Well, but it’s progress, right?
You’re saying that about a population that literally voted this guy into office just a few years ago.
If people haven’t realized how dumb our society is after that, there’s not much hope.
The guy attempted a coup. He should be on trial for his life right now… and still 30+% of Americans might support him.
it’s 30% if you only read the title, at the end of the article it says:
Two other polls released this week show President Joe Biden and Trump competitive in a 2024 matchup, with Biden edging Trump by just a point in surveys from Marist and Quinnipiac.
unless you check how they conducted the poll, you don’t know if either one is correct.
was it made in an university campus or at the exit of an NRA convention? those will give you wildly different results.
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The two claims are not in conflict. Election polls account for propensity to vote.
The 36% will turn out to vote. It will be an uphill struggle for the Dems to get turnout high enough to defeat them.
But the non-fash media will smugly proclaim him defeated anyway, helping to depress turnout enough that he wins. Again.
Dangerous times.
For anyone wondering here are the two polls:
https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/trumps-indictments-2024/
Data for it: https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/Marist-Poll_USA-NOS-and-Tables_202308151349.pdf
“This survey of 1,220 adults was conducted August 11th through August 14th, 2023 by the Marist Poll. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the United States were contacted through a multi-mode design: By phone using live interviewers, by text, or online”
https://poll.qu.edu/images/polling/us/us08162023_usos65.pdf
“Surveys adhere to industry best practices and are based on random samples of adults using random digit dialing with live interviewers calling landlines and cell phones.”
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-took-a-long-time-for-republicans-to-abandon-nixon/
When the House of Representatives voted in February 1974 to give the House Judiciary Committee subpoena power to investigate Nixon, it did not have the weight of public opinion behind it. According to a poll conducted by Gallup just days before the vote, only 38 percent of Americans were in favor of impeachment. And although a solid majority of Americans did eventually come to support impeachment, that moment didn’t arrive until quite late in the game.My friends, the MAGA cult stuck with Trump through racism, rape, hush money, and an attempted coup! They are not budging.
Of course they aren’t. That’s who they are. That’s what they like. Dems need to stop sneering and start registering voters because these fuckers are turning out.
How many of those trump cultists admit today to voting and supporting G.W. Bush? You know they didn’t vote for Gore, if they voted at all, but they supported Bush and they supported his vision to make the US the world’s police despite claiming they are against this.
Do you think the people who supported Nixon were somehow dumber than Americans are today? Functional literacy was much lower in the 70s.
There are large swathes of people who just support the status quo. Nixon being the villain in his own story is “common knowledge” now and Trump’s just stupid Nixon.
The difference is that when Nixon was President we all shared the same facts and reality.
Today’s Republicans will simply never accept the reality that Trump is a criminal.
If you don’t understand that distinction, you’ve been missing the big picture.
Were you alive during Nixon? I was a baby but I interacted with people Trump’s age when I was a child. I don’t know if it’s the lead in the air back then or what but more than half of all adults seemed terminally stupid. I was a child and I thought they were stupid.
We’ve clearly got a lot of people who think Trump’s smart today but Trump’s brand of gibberish was just considered “common sense” in the 80s. Social media hasn’t made us dumber, it’s just allowed the dumbest people to find each other more easily.
Regarding us all sharing the same facts when Nixon was president, that’s just not true. People lived in a very divided America then as well. Social media and the refinement of propaganda techniques does make things seem more hopeless today but the same Roger Stone who’s fucking things up today was around back then. He was doing exactly what he’s doing today back then.
The fact that the public, in the end, turned on Nixon is the REASON we have Fox News today. It’s creators were anticipating the landscape today where a conservative media bubble would isolate Republicans from the facts. It works perfectly.
Yes, I’m aware of that. This is why I brought up Roger Stone. My point is people aren’t stupider or more insular today; they are actually slightly less so.
The machinery of propaganda is much more refined today.
Also every year, 2½ million older Americans die. So in the same eight years, that’s as many as 20 million fewer older voters. Which means that between Trump’s election in 2016 and the 2024 election, the number of Gen Z (born in the late 1990s and early 2010s) voters will have advanced by a net 52 million against older people. That’s about 20 percent of the total 2020 eligible electorate of 258 million Americans.
And unlike previous generations, Gen Z votes… young people in recent years to vote more frequently for Democrats and progressive policies than prior generations did when of similar age
Not saying that 2024 is in the bag for Biden, but a lot has changing in the electorate. And I’ll take a little hope when I can get it.
Nice quote.
I really like how well this puts things in perspective.
He’s a real estate developer rebel for the workin’ man
I guess that’s a good thing, but that % should be way higher for someone that committed treason, among numerous other crimes (as well as being just a terrible person in general.)
This is superb. Wonderful.
I always knew Obama was a crook /s
Oh, Mr dronestrike was surely better than Mr orange, but I think he doesn’t deserve praise either.
If they could read thwyd be very upset
At least four counts in every category, a quadruple slam! Bravo
Something like 1/3 of the country is so deeply republican as to be a total loss. This % is pretty fucking solid.
Complete and utter indoctrination that’s been heavily aimed at that demographic for the last three decades, at least.
There’s a Mitt Romney 37% joke in there somewhere
But yeah. It’s a terrible truth
But he’s hurting the right people!
Down ballot Republicans!
treason is part of their heritage
Yeah, screw that. Don’t trust polls, vote like your democracy and your life depend on it.
…becuase they very much may
May??
It literally does at this point.
36% is enough to elect, if they all vote.
Have you ever participated in one of these polls? I haven’t. None of my friends have. Who are they polling?
Lots of people. I have. The linked AP article says they polled 1165 people, which seems small compared to the 332 million, but the math checks out for a 95% confidence level and a 3% margin of error.
How did they do it? Phone? Email?
If you’re interested in their methodology, they’re named at the bottom of the linked AP article, and they have a page that answers that exact question.
“The poll of 1,165 adults was conducted Aug. 10-14 using a sample drawn from NORC’s probability-based AmeriSpeak Panel, which is designed to be representative of the U.S. population. The margin of sampling error for all respondents is plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.”
So it doesn’t say how. I have this idea that they call people. I also have this idea that no one in certain age groups and demographics answers their phone, so are underrepresented.
And if you Google their name, they have a page that gives a summary of how they conduct their polls.
The thing is that they can be 95% sure they are within 3% of what they’d get if they polled everyone. But that’s it. The way people answer polls doesn’t always translate to the way they vote or do anything else.
I’m not American, but my wife used to be in these pills here. I think it started with like music polls, have you hear this song in the last week in the radio etc. Later on it was TV, product placement in supermarkets, news events, local, state and federal elections.
Half the time she admitted she had nfi what they were talking about so just made shit up so the call ended quickly and she got whatever payment/reward they were giving out.
There have definitely been periods when polls were quite skewed because they were conducted by phone and they over-represented people with landlines. I guess because it’s harder to get a “phone book” of cell numbers. This skewed actual outcomes of the polls.
I think they still have similar issues. They probably underrepresent people who change phones often or just don’t use the telephone to communicate. Sometimes they’re conducted online and recruited over email. There are all different ways that that can skew more to one type of person.
And when they say they have such and such a confidence interval, that does not mean they are that confident they’ve controlled for all the biases. It’s just simple statistics math about sample sizes.
I think we have seen very clearly in recent presidential elections how unreliable polls are. Not only do people answer them differently than they fill out ballots, there just isn’t a perfect way to be sure you’re polling people who will actually vote.
Not to mention they get up to 3x electoral college voting power depending on how empty their state is.
Other way to read this headline:
36% of Americans are equal parts moronic and clinically insane
74 million people voted for him in 2020…which is about 22% of the population of the US in 2020. Now 36% would support him. I realize the two numbers aren’t directly comparable because only 67% of the people who could vote in 2020 did (and that was the highest it has been since 1980), but it’s still not a great feeling.
Yep we need mental health funding. It’s still a ridiculous % given how crappy our voting system is.
Fucking psychopaths
I feel like ~1 in 3 people being selfish assholes kind of checks out, though. It’s a trend I really noticed during Covid.
So 36% of Americans are fucking dumb. Which is lower than I would’ve guessed.
Been the same for 6 years. Even damn poll - he’s always hovering around that number no matter how hard he’s fucking up.
A lot of people really believe that Trump, the man who puts his name on everything, is a selfless martyr. Not a wealthy grifter looking for new suckers willing to line his pockets with cash.
“Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that.” - George Carlin
This is why we need ranked choice voting. The extremists would never win if we did.
We also wouldn’t be limited to choosing from exactly two choices if we want our vote to impact the election.
And the Democrats fight against it, because they are just as much part of the anti-democratic systems as the outright fascists.
At this point I think 36% of Americans are just trolling
no worries mate, luckily the US election system does not have a flaw in it that technically allows 23% of voters to decide the presidency
Having an election system where the majority of the votes doesn’t win is blatantly undemocratic and downright insane. As evidenced by the last two times that happened in the US.
Let’s hope the day never comes, but I’m genuinely curious what would happen if that massive imbalance type of scenario occurred.
I think the Napomovoco whatever it’s called will be completed before that would happen.
Of course then the US is still stuck in a 2 party system and that shit will need to be fixed.
Here is an alternative Piped link(s): https://piped.video/tUX-frlNBJY
Piped is a privacy-respecting open-source alternative frontend to YouTube.
I’m open-source, check me out at GitHub.
I was curious about who the 64% of Americans are, because I’ve never done a poll in my life. This is what I found:
NORC gathers data for the polls through its probability-based AmeriSpeak® Panel, a breakthrough survey approach that achieves an industry-leading response rate and includes difficult-to-reach demographic groups, such as rural and low-income households.
For AmeriSpeak’s Omnibus survey, 1,000 nationally representative adults age 18 and older are drawn from the AmeriSpeak Panel and are interviewed online and by phone.
The people that are drawn from the panel are all preregistered. So these people sign up, and are asked questions every month. The same people. Every month. Then they do some sort of probability math on those numbers and run it as a news story.
That’s how polls work. I’m not sure if you genuinely don’t know, but that’s just how they are done.
You can very accurately extrapolate data on the entire population with just 1000 participants. The flaw is in geography distribution, population distribution, willingness to poll, and other types of sample bias, but if they account for those then that’s perfectly valid.
I did not know. That’s why I said I didn’t know and looked it up, and then shared the info i found :)
Good on you for looking it up. I’ve seen so many comments from people who don’t look it up and just go “they only asked 2000 people so this is bullshit”. I initially had thought your original comment would be just another one of those till I read it all.
Sorry to be the bearer of bad news but there are absolutely that mouth breathers in the US. A few months ago I drove by a fucking Trump rally that is held weekly out in some rural parking lot in Washington State, sans Trump.
I have two neighbors with a let’s go Brandon banner plaster to the front of their house. Another guy ran for city council on a platform to mandate all teachers to carry AR-15s at school. There’s a lot of bananas bullshit out there still. These people believe that the United States is a failing state and the only way to save it is to kill liberals.
The bigger problem is that a large number of the remaining 36% will support him at all cost. (that last part is extremely important)
Those people see this as a WAR.
While everyone else is busy making some funny meme or writing a snarky comment on Twitter, those people are prepping for war. Radicalizing our youth. Stockpiling guns. Getting ready for a fight.
They see it as a war because they are finding themselves (and their ideals) in the minority and feel their voice is being taken away. I’ve heard those sentiments directly from their mouths. From my perspective, the problem is that instead of rallying being some other GOP candidate, they’ve decided to back the one who used possible criminal tactics like fake electors to ignore the peoples votes and remain in power. Something that in my opinion should amount to treason. We’re finding ourselves in a shitty situation now. Stuck between a nice old man who’s cognitive ability is fading and a man starving for authoritarian power and willing to take it at all cost. I don’t know what is going to happen, but I’m curious to see if 2020 was the beginning of the full collapse of the Republican party and what will rise in it’s ashes. A 3 party system?
Pfft, Joe biden’s cognitive ability is not fading. If anyone is, it’s Trump.
I’m just being a realist. I voted for the guy but I feel like he’s too old for another term. Trump has no cognitive ability. He operates stickily on nearsighted emotional reaction with no capability to comprehend the consequences for his words or actions.
I hope a 3 party system doesn’t form. That would effectively mean the DNC would win every election. Which sounds great for exactly one election cycle, after that not so much. Power breeds corruption.
The better alternative is for the GOP to gets its act together and start trying to win elections by policy and running stuff by data. We need two functional parties and right now we have one that sorta works and the other that is eating horse dewormer.
The better alternative is for the GOP to gets its act together and start trying to win elections by policy and running stuff by data
Which sounds great for exactly one election cycle, after that not so much. Power breeds corruption.
I think it sounds great for more than one election cycle to the trans people being targeted by the GOP’s legislative genocide campaign.
The better alternative is for the GOP to gets its act together and start trying to win elections by policy
I mean we’ve seen what happens with that. They’ll cook up another single-voter-issue and choose a minority to attack. That’s their way of “winning with policy”.
I’d be fine with the DNC winning everything until a 3rd party gets established if it means we can get rid of the GOP as a major political player.
I think it would guarantee a DNC win for this and maybe the next election cycle. But I would bet that after awhile a 3 party system would spread the electorate out a little more. Maybe like a more left leaning DNC, a more moderate middle of the road party and a further right leaning 3rd party. I personally would like more options. Then again, that might make it easier for the far right to gain power. I don’t know… I’m certainly not an expert when it comes to this stuff. Just thinking out loud.
They see it as a war because they are finding themselves (and their ideals) in the minority and feel their voice is being taken away.
Possibly because their ideals suck. Pretty much every conservative idea is a bad one.
No way the US process allows for a stable 3 serious parties.
I predict the GOP falls, and the DNC splits into two parties: the establishment free-market capitalists who bill themselves as the “common sense” party, and the progressives.
GOP will absorb into establishment DNC, lose the outright homophobia and fascism and fall back to the quiet dog whistles, just enough to keep the old GOP base voting for them against the progressives.
This is a good bet. As it is, with first past the post, we can’t have three parties
I’ve always wondered what would happen if we got a gun loving liberal that waves a bible around. Is it enough?
No. Manchin is outspokenly pro-coal, but the conservative media has convinced most the the pro-coal people in WV he is anti-coal, and he’s very likely to lose the next election. Conservative media is very good at controlling the narrative and propagandizing. We are in a post-truth age for a significant proportion of the population.
The “facts don’t care care about your feelings” crowd from a few years back sure does seem to be sensitive to facts and only give a shit about their feelings.
in the mid-west this is almost required if you want to win any election, regardless of party.
Yosemite Sam’s pot smoking LGBTQ liberal cousin who supports right to repair and socialized healthcare as GOD GIVEN RIGHTS?!
Sign me UUUUP!!!
the fact that there are about 100 million Americans who didn’t say they wouldn’t support Trump says a lot about the state of America
Now if only someone would do something about the gerrymandering
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Wisconsin has entered the chat.
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That’s roughly the same ratio of Germans who were craving Nazism in 1930s Germany.
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truly sad state of things. It’s disinformation like none other. These people are completely oblivious to the facts of his criminal activities because the media they consume is only focused on cultural issues. It’s literally all they see. They have no ability to look things up or fact check or think beyond whatever their pod casts are telling them.
It’s such a bigger issue about this country as a whole. Education has failed so many. Those same people will vote for people that want to further erode education. They also have lots of kids and groom them to believe nonsense and deny education’s importance. They attack teachers and doctors as being “woke” etc…
I hope we can come back from this, but the reality is it gets much worse from here.
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Instead of just complaining, do something to help make it better.
You’re right, we should start kicking them out
I didn’t advocate kicking out. I suggested he help make it better. I don’t care much for lazy, entitled whiners.
I suggest we help make it better too. By kicking them out.
Do you follow Mdotaut801@lemmy.world close enough to know he doesn’t do both?
Nah, don’t follow trolls
There will always be people who refuse to answer the question.
