You have to consider that to predict American politics, you need to multiply outcomes by a large stupidness-monkey paw-cruelty cofactor. So it’s like “yeah, there’s a chance that state police help the people, but it’s a volunteer inmate cohort who treat chemical burns from Brand Co. tear gas in exchange for healthcare via a 10 million dollar grant.”
You have to consider that to predict American politics, you need to multiply outcomes by a large stupidness-monkey paw-cruelty cofactor. So it’s like “yeah, there’s a chance that state police help the people, but it’s a volunteer inmate cohort who treat chemical burns from Brand Co. tear gas in exchange for healthcare via a 10 million dollar grant.”