Maybe this is too fedposty (and let me know if it is), but I’ve been thinking about this a lot, especially with how things are going in Iran. It seems like modern warfare is basically just “my drones strike your drones”, and if either side has drones free to not strike other drones, they can instantly kill whoever they like. With this in mind, is it even really possible for a revolution in the US to escalate into a civil war without simply being air-superiority’d into oblivion with modern sensors? Is guerilla war viable anymore? The main counterpoint I can think of to this possibility is that the US military is A: incompetent and B: mostly a colonial garrison force, but I don’t know.
(And yeah, I know a revolution in the US would have a whole laundry list of prerequisites and is significantly hindered by the fact it can’t be tied with anti-imperial nationalism. I’m talking strictly in terms of if it actually happened.)
I think it’s entirely dependent on region
There are certainly areas which are filled with people who would support a massive sea change and others which wouldn’t
This will most likely lead to a nasty period of Balkanization as these areas break apart dependent on any number of factors
Racial lines, religious denominations, economics, it would be a goddamn mess
At least right now anyway, I wouldn’t say any of the branches of the US military are in any real position to actually stop a revolution
It’d just be hundreds of small armies squabbling and shooting at each other
people don’t have strong regional affiliations other than texas so it’s hard to say where any of the lines would be. I’ll make fun of neighboring states when they fuck up and people are weird about college and pro sports fandom but there’s nothing deeply rooted to divide up white people.
I think this is the most realistic answer. It’ll look like Syria, but with 1.5 guns per person instead of 0.08.