Image is of rescue efforts at a damaged residential complex in Caracas on June 25th.
Weekly preamble in spoiler tags below.
preamble
The situation regarding both Iran and global oil markets is getting even more complicated, and that’s without even including the regular injections of disinformation from people like Barak Ravid and Trump himself. In my current estimation, the negotiations are proceeding as if both sides would rather see a deal than not. At the very least, there have certainly been enough blatant violations of the MoU articles that Iran would be fully justified to end negotiations altogether, and yet they are not, which must mean that they really do want a deal. Until a few days ago, these were mainly issues that Iran has been prepared to show… “flexibility” on (others might say “cowardice”), such as Zionist aggression against southern Lebanon. Both at the start of the April ceasefire and at the start of the MoU, they made Lebanon out to be a red line issue, but ultimately seemed convinced by the US saying to them, via backchannels, that they’ll yank the leash back on their mangy, rabid dog. Therefore, it’s safe to conclude that Iran, in practice, either only symbolically cares about Lebanon as the number of buildings destroyed by the Zionists is now climbing into the tens of thousands, or is confident in Hezbollah’s ability to withstand assaults and eventually push back the Zionists to the border.
However, very recently, the fighting has once again come closer to home for Iran, with renewed, albeit limited, exchanges of fire in the general area of Hormuz. This all stems from an unfortunate contradiction that Iran has wandered into with regard to Oman. In short: their legal argument for why they should be able to extract tolls/service fees from shipping through Hormuz relies on the concept of Hormuz being part of their territorial waters and not international waters, which is literally true. However, it is also possible to transit Hormuz entirely through Oman’s territorial waters too, and, critically, Oman has not shown any serious interest in charging a toll, and is letting shipping pass freely. Oman is also much less able to seriously withstand foreign assaults than Iran, meaning their position is precarious - side with Iran, and risk a Western military assault that destroys them; side with the US, and risk Hormuz never truly reopening because the IRGC will not tolerate ships bypassing their authority. So, Iran is now legally stuck: to have a toll, it must find a way to argue that territorial waters are important when it applies to them, but aren’t important when it applies to Oman. Or, of course, to somehow convince Oman to set up their own toll, in face of the dangers.
So far, the result of this has been Iran asserting, both verbally and through drones and missiles, that transit through the Oman channels is, at least during the period of the MoU, illegitimate. This has squashed hopes by many analysts that Hormuz flows would return to normal very soon - after a very brief peak, these numbers now seem to be descending to near-wartime levels. This is happening as the US’s reserves continue to drain at a frightening rate. That being said, Iranian oil tankers are getting out in large numbers and reaching foreign markets, so it’s not as if Iran is solely being disadvantaged by the current situation. It’s even possible that Iran is waiting for enough of these ships to reach Eastern Asia before they plan to restart the war. I’m unsure if this is actually likely, but I’ve seen several others suggest it, and it does make sense to at least make the most of the current lack of blockade while you figure out if the US is actually going to give in to any of your demands.
Over in Ukraine, the situation seems to be slowly heating up. It’s always hard for me personally to figure out the seriousness of the statements of the Ukrainians and the Russians - you’ll look back on a year of exaggerated threats and bold statements and promises of grand offensives and threats of nuclear war and yet, on the battlefield, all you see is fairly standard attrition and positional warfare. Anyway: there’s been much ado about Ukrainian attacks into Russia proper over the last few months and whether it’s having an impact on their economy (not particularly), wartime production (not at all), and social fabric (kinda). However, the rumors of Belarus getting more directly involved in the war - whether they want to or not - are increasing in intensity, with Ukraine threatening that they’ll fire on Belarusian border military equipment if it isn’t withdrawn. Also, the Russian hardliners seem to really want to start attacking European military production supplying Ukraine, though Putin appears to have squashed those desires. But at the end of the day, the attrition and territorial advancements continue to convincingly favor Russia.
And lastly, the numbers of the aftermath of the recent earthquakes in Venezuela are rolling in, with ~1500 dead, ~750 buildings damaged and collapsed, and many thousands of people affected and being assisted by the government. From the footage I’ve seen, it’s quite disturbing, and obviously not coming at a great time for Venezuela geopolitically either.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
EDIT: It’s now news. my rant is officially binding
https://www.newsweek.com/americas-wheat-harvest-set-to-fall-to-lowest-level-in-150-years-12150306
I know it’s not news, so delete if you must, but can I say it fucks me off how libs are now realizing the wheat harvest is gonna be super low in the US this year, like dust bowl levels, and their conclusion is exclusively rooted in climate change.
Motherfucker, your government bombed the country next to the chokepoint that was about to finish loading the fertilizer your farmers needed for this year’s harvest!!! Hundreds if not thousands of farms left fallow because farmers decided it wouldn’t be profitable to fuel their equipment and fertilize the fields!!!
I know there’s a climate change element, of course there is, but the impacts of this self-inflicted disaster are being memory holed by the libs at breakneck speed, because at least climate change is this insurmountable catastrophe that they can whine about but never do shit to change, but politics is far too actionable for someone who is pissed that their bread is $8 a loaf come winter.
NB: The libs in question were on tiktok™ but even the USDA report fails to mention anything to do with Iran, hmm!
I made the mistake of watching the news on Danish state broadcaster TV2 yesterday. They had sent their star correspondent to Cuba to report on the dire situation there. He didn’t seem to speak Spanish, but Danish journalists who speak other languages than high school English are hard to find and I suppose his status as their top journalist somehow makes up for the lack of communication skills.
It was a bizarre reportage. Cuba is indeed in a desperate situation but he didn’t do anything to explain to viewers why that is the case. Not once did he mention the words “USA”, “America” or “blockade”, nor did he mention anything about the Cuban government’s and civil society’s response to the crisis. It was all human interest and no context.
Instead he spent half of the reportage telling viewers how he couldn’t find anyone who said they wanted regime change which he boldly asserted was because they were too afraid of speaking out. Then he went on to ask the woman he was interviewing whether she wanted a new government, something she didn’t seem to be the least bit afraid of saying that she did if the situation didn’t improve. The reporter explained this lack of fear with the situation being so bad that jail was no longer any worse than the curve state of affairs.
So, to recap: Cuba is in crisis due to vague, unspecified government malfeasance, the American blockade is completely irrelevant and the only solution is total regime change. Cubans are too afraid to ask for it, except when they actually explicitly do, at which point it is proof that the situation is so catastrophic and the government so illegitimate that fear has evaporated.
This is the unfalsifiable anti-communist orthodoxy in action. If Cubans stay silent, it proves the regime is repressive. If they speak out, it proves the regime is incompetent. Viewers are actively being made dumber by this bullshit.
American bombs killed almost 4500 Lebanese since March 2nd of this year. Lebanese “government” is worms
Israeli court says comptroller overstepped authority in 7 Oct attack probes
The Times of Israel reported that the court found Englman had no jurisdiction to investigate four areas: Israel’s transfer of Qatari funds to Hamas before the attack, Gaza border defences, the conduct of intelligence agencies and government in response to information about a possible Hamas assault, and the response of the government, intelligence agency Shin Bet and the military during the attack.
The court said the state comptroller’s role is to review government actions against prevailing norms, not conduct investigations to establish the factual reality of events.
I wonder why they don’t want any investigation on these matters
The court said the state comptroller’s role is to review government actions against prevailing norms, not conduct investigations to establish the factual reality of events.
come on lol
It’s like that one video Historia Civilis made on the English civil war where the court wasn’t interested in precedent or something.
tfw you are trying to keep the hannibal out of the hasbara
Israel: We haven’t investigated ourselves and somehow found substantial wrong doing.
https://xcancel.com/rybar_mena/status/2071972899129311263
Iran hit Israel’s Haifa oil refinery harder than authorities initially admitted. The strike completely destroyed the main gasoline reservoir, disabled the internal power plant supplying steam and electricity, and damaged gas turbines, boilers, and control rooms with shrapnel. The attack eliminated around 60% of Israel’s domestic oil product production, leading to a sharp gasoline shortage that was offset by ramping up imports and maximizing output at the Ashdod refinery. To speed up repairs, the government allowed work to bypass normal environmental and construction regulations, with full restoration now expected only in 2028. The true scale of the damage surfaced after Haifa’s municipality and environmental groups sued over the regulatory shortcuts, raising the possibility that Israel may be downplaying the impact of other Iranian strikes on critical infrastructure.
Pope Leo just excommunicated a couple thousand of the most insane trad-Caths in the Church.
The Vatican has excommunicated a rebel group of ultra-conservative Catholics who defied Pope Leo by ordaining bishops without his consent, creating a schism in the Roman Catholic church. The Vatican went further than expected and said all priests of the SSPX and all Catholics who “adhere formally” to the group were in schism and excommunicated. The Vatican also reversed concessions on sacraments made to the society by the late Pope Francis, meaning confessions and marriages administered by its priests are invalid.
The society rejects central changes that emerged from the second Vatican council – a landmark gathering of cardinals, patriarchs, bishops, theological experts and others between 1962 and 1965 – including allowing mass to be celebrated in local languages. Until then it had been said only in Latin. It also rejects dialogue with other religions and does not recognise other Christian churches.
“It’s a very minor group but they are very loud and very ultra-right,” said Vreede. The clash is the first between the Vatican and the SSPX since 1988, when Archbishop Marcel Lefebvre, the society’s founder, and four bishops he had ordained without the permission of the then pope, John Paul II, were excommunicated, including a British bishop, Richard Williamson. In 2009, the conservative Pope Benedict [German Pope who was in Hitler Youth!!!] lifted the excommunications. Shortly before, Williamson had caused uproar by denying the Holocaust.
https://xcancel.com/m7mdkurd/status/2071305701524406285
The Board of Directors at the Committee to Protect Journalists (CPJ) will formally change its definition of who qualifies as a journalist, to broadly exclude slain Palestinian and Lebanese journalists who worked for government-funded media outlets. Israeli, American, and Ukrainian journalists who work for state-funded outlets or are embedded with the military will remain recognized as journalists, of course. The move was catalyzed to appease the right-wing Zionist rag The Free Beacon, which has repeatedly accused Palestinian and Lebanese journalists of being undercover militants or used their political opinions or affiliations as justification for their killing by the IOF. This is a racist scandal of massive proportions for everyone involved, and it makes a mockery of the purported mission of the organization. It is absolutely abhorrent that the organization’s resources are wasted on this cowardly witch-hunt, at a moment in history that is the deadliest for journalists, especially in Palestine and Lebanon.
Sources say that CPJ has put together a “special task force” to “reexamine the question of ‘Who is a Journalist?’” (direct language). The main objective of the task force is to explore excluding journalists working for “state-backed propaganda outlets and terror-affiliated organizations” from their database, as well as journalists who exhibit actions and behaviors that the organization finds to be discrediting. Essentially, CPJ is saying you’re not a journalist unless you’re politically aligned with us.
and a tidbit about western “journalists”
https://xcancel.com/AlanRMacLeod/status/2071520144308715725
Use of the word “genocide” in first 30 days of conflict on CNN and MSNBC, Ukraine vs. Gaza. Source: How to Sell a Genocide, by @adamjohnsonCHI
might have to try to update this comparison of the two conflicts I made about 2 years ago
please do
this will be especially useful now that many
supporting libs have finally acknowledged the genocide they ignored under biden, we need to hit them with the full weight of the contradictions and their own hypocrisy
Belarus is celebrating Independence Day. Note, the holiday commemorates Belarus’ liberation from Nazi occupation and not the destruction of the USSR:
During the Belarusian offensive operation codenamed Bagration (the largest strategic operation of the Great Patriotic War of 1941-1945), assisted by partisans, the 1st Belarusian Front and the 3rd Belarusian Front liberated the capital of Belarus from the Nazi invaders on 3 July 1944. The offensive Operation Bagration was of exceptional importance for Belarusians, this is why it is no coincidence that the day of liberation of the capital city of our republic was chosen as the date of independence. 3 July is an eternal symbol of freedom and love for the Motherland, for which Belarusians gave the most precious thing they had: their lives.
https://eng.belta.by/society/view/belarusians-celebrate-independence-day-today-182777-2026/
Dave Weigel interviewed Michigan 2026 US Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed earlier today:
Dave Weigel: “When Fox News is booking you and covering you, might that be for the same reason Republican PACs spend to help progressive candidates? That they see you as easier to beat?”
Abdul El-Sayed: “It’s amazing to me how deeply they’re misjudging this. I’m like: You have never fought a counterpuncher. The number of times I’m gonna define and redefine Mike Rogers! We’re talking about an anti-charismatic old school politician who doesn’t even know what he believes, except for he wants to make himself rich off of the rest of us. You know what I’m gonna do to that man? By the time I’m done, his best friends are gonna look at him and think what I think, say what I say. I’m gonna define him into eternity. Good, help me beat the crap out of you. Little parts of your vestiges — politically — are gonna be scattered all over the state of Michigan, never to be seen again. You say “Mike Rogers,” it’ll be like: “Remember when Abdul just completely demolished that man’s political future?” By the time I’m done with him, people are going to be calling him Five Dollar Rogers.”
Weigel: “Why five dollars?” El-Sayed: “Because of $5 gas and how he’ll do whatever you want him to do for five bucks.”
Manhunt after bomb injures Ukrainian oligarch in Monaco https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cpv37wx03v7o
Headline makes it seem like Russia is parcel bombing European cities
However right at the end of the article:
He is now a Cypriot citizen after renouncing his Ukrainian citizenship in 2019.
He has big interests in the wine and alcohol business in Russian-annexed Crimea, and since 2023 has been the subject of sanctions imposed by the government in Kyiv.
Seem more likely it was Ukrainian attack
Normal people: Jews controlling the media is just some dumb conspiracy theory.
Average Zionist:
https://www.thecanary.co/skwawkbox/2026/06/30/norm-coleman-jews/
The masters of the universe are Jews. We have Zuckerberg from Facebook, we have Sergey Brin from Google, we have Jan Koum, the founder of WhatsApp… it’s all us. We must control the digital world and social media.
The Danish supreme court recently ruled that not shaking hands due to religious considerations is not a justified cause for firing.
As a result the bourgeois bloc, the right wing parties, have decided to propose a hand-shake law that says failing to shake hands is specifically a firable offence. The Social Democrats have commented that they are waiting for legal commentary before taking a stance on the issue.🇮🇷🇺🇸| Status of the end-of-war MoU — Day 13
• Iran’s oil sanction relief has been implemented, and part of the money from oil sales has been transferred to Iran’s central banks.
• Iranian ships are passing through the naval blockade.
• None of Iran’s frozen funds have been released so far. (Violation of clause 11)
• The Omani-US corridor in the Strait of Hormoz is active. (Violation of clause 5)
• US forces & equipment in the region are increasing, and the USS Boxer has also been sent toward West Asia. (Violation of clauses 2 and 9)
• US officials continue to threaten Iran. (Violation of clauses 1 and 2)
• War & occupation in Lebanon are continuing intensely. (Violation of clauses 1 and 13)
• The US Vice President (JD Vance) described the goal of the MoU not as ending the war, but as preparing for what will happen next (war). (Violation of clauses 1, 2, 13, and 14)
• The Persian Gulf Cooperation Council denied any investment for Iran’s reconstruction. (Violation of clause 6)
@FotrosResistancee
Iran is allowing the strait to be opened for this? Some sanctions relief and freedom of navigation, ie Iran being sold what it already owned. This is what victory looks like? Iranian negotiators are still in indirect negotiations with the Americans despite the ongoing fighting in Lebanon and multiple breaches of the agreement.
Russian Federation Council Deputy Speaker Konstantin Kosachev pointed out that “Israel” lost the war:
“Israel is the only clear loser in this conflict. First of all, Israel is not participating in the negotiation process. Discussions about Israel’s actions - what it can and cannot do - are taking place without it.”
“Second, Israel is under time pressure: it needs to achieve some kind of result before the fall elections. For Mr. Netanyahu, the outcome of these elections is a matter of survival as he is facing criminal prosecution, and the loss of his immunity would mean prison time.”
“Israel is currently in what is known in chess as zugzwang, a situation in which every subsequent move leads to a worsening of the situation.”
Apple is lobbying the Trump administration for clearance to buy memory chips from ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT), reported the Financial Times.
So the AI bubble has driven the US tech giant to beg the US govt to allow them to buy Chinese memory.
https://www.thestreet.com/investing/apples-gamble-just-exposed-the-ai-bubbles-fatal-flaw
