A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like “in Minecraft”) and comments containing it will be removed.

Image is one of many rallies in Iran in support of the government and the leadership.


short summary here, longish summary in spoiler tags below: Western standoff munition stockpiles now substantially depleted, therefore Western aircraft activity directly over Iran increasing (as is footage of attempted and actual hits against them) as the US attempts to transition more to using bombs dropped directly onto targets, Iran is increasingly in the driver’s seat and controlling the conflict, world economy is fucked and yet could still get much worse very soon, if you require a car to live (especially if it’s not electric) and cannot work from home then you have my sincere condolences

longish summary here

While I’ve seen several estimates on the current stockpiles of US and Zionist missiles and interceptors - somewhere in the realm of a third depleted, perhaps even up to half - it seems like we’re reaching the point at which the US does not want to commit even more standoff munitions and is trying their luck against the Iranian air defense network directly.

We have already seen footage of Iran attempting to shoot down, and sometimes actually striking Western fifth generation planes like the F-35, and more footage along those lines is appearing for other plane models (with one side claiming that they evaded interception and the other claiming they hit it, etc etc, propaganda is everywhere, you know the drill). How much the US is willing to test their planes against Iranian air defense is a matter of debate. Strictly speaking, a few fighter jets and bombers shot down would be no catastrophic loss in the grand scheme of things, as the US has hundreds. However, the narrative of such a thing would be quite bad for the US - “You’re telling me an OBLITERATED Iranian military can shoot down some of our most advanced equipment?? What are we gonna do against China?!” - and given Trump’s deranged jingoistic rhetoric aimed to buoy markets, it’s clear that he cares very deeply about narratives. Additionally, with Chinese exports of several critical metals to the US banned, the prospect of replacing these aircraft (and indeed the standoff munitions and the interceptors and the ground radars etc) is looking questionable.

All the while, Iran continues its strikes across the Middle East. Missile and drone strikes are reportedly on the uptick again, demonstrating that Iranian military capabilities have by no means been “destroyed” as Western propaganda claim, though it’s impossible to sure there was ever a significant downtick due to Western censorship and outright fabrications. People around the world are gradually realizing the magnitude of the economic disaster that is occurring and may yet occur. Refineries and factories which deal with oil and gas directly are starting to slow down or stop production, and those who make products downstream of those are starting to follow them like dominoes. Outrage at gas station prices is rising, and many countries are considering limiting civilian driving and implementing work-from-home policies akin to the coronavirus pandemic. And now, threats are being made by Trump against both Kharg Island (where most Iranian oil is shipped from) and the Iranian electrical grid - which is highly decentralized and would require a prolonged bombing campaign to completely take out -and the promised Iranian reprisal would be apocalyptic to the Middle East. It would make oil prices rise to previously unfathomable heights as oil infrastructure turned off and remained off for months, perhaps years, and set in motion one of the world’s greatest humanitarian catastrophes as the desalination necessary for tens of millions of people is shut down. It would also not be a symmetrical problem, as Iran does not rely on desalination for its water supply.


Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Lovely_sombrero [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    Someone made $1.7 billion in bets around 5 minutes before Trump’s tweet about “negotiations”. Buy on S&P futures, short on oil. This is Trump’s biggest stock market fraud yet. Amazing. Now he is on Fox News talking about a deal being made soon and how Hormuz will be “co-owned” (???).

    Iran hasn’t confirmed anything yet, the only few statements that we’ve seen so far are that there are no negotiations. Israel is reportedly striking Iran’s infrastructure right now, Iran’s broadcasting network says that US & Israel assassinated Dr. Saeed Shamghadari, a professor of electrical engineering at Iran University of Science and Technology today.

    According to Iran’s government news agency IRNA, Dr. Saeed Shamghadari, a senior professor at Iran University of Science and Technology, and his children have been killed in an attack. This tragic incident occurred on Tuesday, March 23, 2026, which Iran has described as a major aggression by the American and Israeli forces. Dr. Saeed was posted as Associate Professor in the Department of Electrical Engineering in the University.

    • MarmiteLover123 [comrade/them, any]@hexbear.net
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      Trump is saying that he’s already changed the regime in Iran, they’ll agree to his deal of missile restrictions, no enriched uranium, removing the enriched material, joint ownership of the strait, etc.

      What is happening?

      Trump also says that if Iran doesn’t agree, he’ll just keep bombing them.

        • MarmiteLover123 [comrade/them, any]@hexbear.net
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          I’m thinking more extreme market manipulation tactics. The truth social post this morning didn’t really work, the oil price bounced back up almost immediately. So Trump had to pull a new card out, the Fox News interview on the tarmac. It seems to be working for now.

          All this because he made a dumb ultimatum that couldn’t be followed through on and would have little effect on the war anyways. Maybe the ultimatum was part of the market manipulation.

      • hotspur [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        1 month ago

        I saw someone else in here saying that since Iran won’t talk to him, he’s just moved on to talking to imaginary Iranians, and will simply will it into reality via force of will.

      • Lovely_sombrero [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        I don’t know, but someone in Iran going soft would only mean a much bigger and better planned attack on Iran a year from now. They mentioned talks with Ghalibaf, who was always supposed to be a hardliner!??

      • MLRL_Commie [comrade/them, he/him]@hexbear.net
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        Lol I bet he is in contact with people from Pahlavi and is being told that they represent Iran. Or that this is just bullshit to make money and cause chaos in order to make people lose focus and stop caring about Iran.

      • companero [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        lathe-of-heaven Potential off-ramp:

        • US unilaterally stops bombing, claims Iran’s military is completely destroyed (it isn’t)
        • US claims regime change completed due to assassinations
        • Iran is allowed to continue nuclear enrichment in secret
        • Oman allows US military presence on their part of the strait

        Would be a total victory for Iran while allowing the US to save some face. Of course, Iran will probably still want to keep fighting until their own stated goals are achieved, and ensure that this can’t happen again in the future.

        • darkcalling [comrade/them, she/her]@hexbear.net
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          Iran is allowed to continue nuclear enrichment in secret

          Zionists would start screaming like the world’s loudest and most whiny Klaxon alarm within 6 months if not immediately. US would be forced to re-engage due to the commitments of their political class within a year and be bombing Iran again within 18 months. Maybe Trump could arm-twist them to be silent the rest of his term but they’d start yelling about it in 2029 and flooding the press with sobbing.

          Also any deal with the US would not constrain the zionists in the least. They’d feel free to attack and do assassinations by missile aimed at destabilizing the country.

      • cisco [they/them]@hexbear.net
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        Most Iranian sources have rejected claims that they’re talking to the US directly or through third parties. I think the closest confirmation to any negotiation is that the US supposedly texted the FM lol

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        1 month ago

        Trump’s decision to postpone his Hormuz ultimatum was aimed in part at calming markets, according to people familiar with the matter - Bloomberg

        “Trump needed some way to climb down from a threat that would surely have started a new round of escalation, this time crossing a new threshold by targeting civilian energy infrastructure, which would likely constitute a war crime,” said Dana Stroul, former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East. “It is surely no coincidence that the announcement of a five-day pause and talks came right before markets opened in the United States on Monday morning.”

        https://archive.ph/0b338

        • MarmiteLover123 [comrade/them, any]@hexbear.net
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          Yeah I guessed so.

          On striking the power plants, the US has ways to disable power infrastructure temporarily, graphite bombs and high energy microwave weapons. The former have been used before in Serbia and Iraq, and the latter is suspected in Venezuela. I was going to write something up on that before this happened. Which introduces some ambiguity there, how would Iran respond to power infrastructure being temporarily disabled, for say 48 hours?