A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like “in Minecraft”) and comments containing it will be removed.

Image depicts one of Iran’s many anti-ship options, which include missiles, drones, mines, midget submarines, and more. The particular missile shown is the Abu Mahdi cruise missile.


Below is my weekly summary/preamble, spoilered so that you can get down into the comments more easily.

preamble

I don’t think I’ve ever seen a ceasefire that, for weeks, is so obviously about to be broken at any given moment and yet nonetheless continues. So-called Operation Freedom may mark a resumption of hostilities, as the US seems to once again be trying an active role in attempting to take control of the Strait of Hormuz. The initial, ridiculous claim was that the US Navy would itself be escorting ships (i.e. just getting your destroyers sunk for no reason), and as expected, this was just said to try and calm markets. Nonetheless, there is reporting that other military measures may be taken against Iran soon if they continue to keep the Strait closed, so we’ll see how that all goes.

US gas prices at the pump have hit close to record high numbers, and generally the average citizen is growing mightily displeased with Trump, even those in previously safe demographics. Unfortunately, this discontent is not immediately geopolitically relevant - as both parties are staffed from top to bottom with pro-war Zionists with only a small group of exceptions, and third parties will necessarily never be allowed to take power, there is no way for US public discontent to manifest itself in a change of policy. What is more likely to cause changes in policy will be grumbling from American capitalists, of which there are many factions. The fossil fuel capitalists seem perfectly content for this situation to continue indefinitely, with record profits. I imagine the financial sector is pretty nervous, but aren’t currently demanding Trump cease fire - same for the tech industry which has now been engulfed in AI, as the bubble seems to be close to, but not quite, popping. Smaller businesses and agriculture are perhaps the most likely to be crying uncle, but may have limited representation.

Going back to Western Asia, the situation from last week has remained broadly the same. The Zionist tactic in Southern Lebanon appears to essentially be “If we can’t occupy this land, then you won’t be able to, either,” as they are doing their utmost to physically destroy as many towns and villages on the border as possible. Hezbollah’s success at keeping Zionist territorial gains fairly minimal, and the growing onslaught of not only anti-tank guided missiles but also FPV drones causing chaos where the Zionists attempt to hold and advance, have, I believe, partially contributed to Iran not pushing the issue of a comprehensive ceasefire in Lebanon so far as to cause them to feel the need to resume fire on the occupied territories.

The US blockade has truly been a mixed affair. While it’s obviously quite leaky and many Iranian ships are getting through, Naked Capitalism and others have pointed out that it’s not just Iranian ships that are transporting goods, and that there are ~70 Chinese ships with Iranian oil that are much less willing to risk running the blockade. But, once again, the success of the blockade isn’t all that relevant. Iran has experienced periods of a couple years straight without meaningful oil exports and survived, and their extensive land borders make a true siege impossible - goods can and are still pouring into the country, and with Pakistan recently allowing Iranian exports through their border, as well as the Caspian Sea in the north and Iran’s railway link to China, Iranian exports can still leave just fine. Another interesting indication is that China’s government has ordered Chinese businesses to ignore US sanctions against Iranian oil, so we’ll see how that develops. And while the issue of maintaining sufficient public cohesion in the wake of economic suffering is a potential long term problem, we haven’t yet seen any meaningful scenes of public discontent inside Iran. Internal unity appears to be staying at record levels in the face of total war.

Even being as careful as possible to check my own biases, it’s difficult for me to form any other conclusion other than that Iran is winning, and people like Armchair Warlord have even pointed out that American tactical victories have been pretty minimal so far.


Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.

Please check out the RedAtlas!

The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.

The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine

If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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    Argentinians are tired of Javier Milei’s government, says poll - Prensa Latina

    Article

    Buenos Aires, May 4 (Prensa Latina) 71.2 percent of Argentinians now want a change of government, according to a new survey released today by the Zuban-Córdoba consultancy, which also shows that rejection of Javier Milei’s government administration stands at 64.5 percent.

    The national survey also found that the performance of the president, his sister and Secretary General of the Presidency, Karina Milei, and the Minister of Economy, Luis Caputo, is equally disapproved of by 64.5 percent.

    Zuban-Córdoba points out in his report that only 34.3 percent of the public approves of the executive’s work

    The consulting firm emphasizes in its report the importance of these numbers “not because the percentages have changed dramatically compared to the previous month, but because a trend is consolidating” in the disapproval of the administration headed by President Javier Milei.

    This imbalance (64.5% disapproval and only 34.3% approval) shows a government with serious political problems halfway through its term, the report says.

    The data from the nationwide survey conducted from April 25 to May 1 further reaffirm a divide that the government is unable to bridge: almost 70 percent of women reject the libertarian approach, almost 10 points higher than the disapproval rating for men.

    “This is not a circumstantial fact or statistical noise; it is a structural signal that any libertarian electoral strategy must process, because without regaining ground in that segment it will be difficult to move the ceiling of 2027,” the polling firm points out.

    Within the ruling party itself, the image of the government team shows another uncomfortable paradox: the one who comes out best is Patricia Bullrich, with a negative image of 55.5 percent, and not the President, whose negative image rises to 60.6 points.

    The rest of the official figures - Karina Milei and the Chief of Staff, Manuel Adorni, who have over 65 percent negative image - are accumulating a decline that is no longer just presidential, but extends to the entire political and communication structure of the La Libertad Avanza government, warns Zúban-Córdoba.

    One relevant fact stands out: 71.2 percent of Argentinians believe that a change of government is needed, and estimate that in a political context, that figure would be read as the obituary of an administration.

    However, the polling firm points out that there is a complex scenario because while a solid majority wants change, this does not mean that they know who should lead it or that they trust any concrete alternative that would allow them to choose a different path than the current government’s proposal.

    According to Zúban-Cordoba, the LLA government with Milei at the helm lost the political initiative, but the opposition has yet to find its footing,” and he reasons that in this tie of weaknesses, “whoever first manages to articulate a proposal that combines credibility and broad acceptance will have an advantage that no actor in the political system has today.”

    • plinky [he/him]@hexbear.net
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      1 hour ago

      doesn’t matter@got 50 billion more in debt.

      btw, why do graphs of argentinian debt to gdp go sharply down in 2024, did their gdp inscreased suddenly or what? cause nominal debt doesn’t change that much

      • vovchik_ilich [he/him]@hexbear.net
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        31 minutes ago

        Perhaps some of the debt was denominated in Argentinian currency and, when the heavy inflation took place, the debt didn’t follow? Just speculation.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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    Journalist arrested by Israel returned to Chile and denounced torture - Prensa Latina

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    Santiago, Chile, May 4 (Prensa Latina) Chilean journalist Macarena Chahuán, arrested by Israel while participating in the Gaza Flotilla, returned to the country today, where she denounced torture applied by Tel Aviv against members of the humanitarian convoy.

    Israel cannot continue to act with total impunity, the activist said upon her arrival at the Arturo Merino Benítez International Airport.

    The journalist was arrested last week along with some 200 volunteer members of the Global Sumud Flotilla, when armed forces intercepted about twenty of the 58 boats carrying aid for the Palestinian population.

    They took us all hostage to a very large ship that looked like a concentration camp, and there were three containers inside. We couldn’t all sleep inside because there wasn’t enough room, he told the press.

    He reported that they were exposed to extreme heat and cold, and that many of his colleagues suffered beatings.

    A total of seven Chileans were traveling in the expedition that intended to break the blockade imposed by Tel Aviv on the Palestinian territory.

    At a press conference here, Nelson Hadad, the legal representative of the Chilean delegation in the Sumud Global Flotilla, described the attack on the convoy carrying aid for the Gaza Strip, where many Palestinian children are dying of starvation, as an inhumane and abominable act.

    The former diplomat also recalled that the attack violated international law and the Law of the Sea Convention, which in its article 87 guarantees free navigation in a peaceful and tranquil manner through international waters.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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    Lula is scheduled to travel this week for a meeting with Trump - Prensa Latina

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    Brasilia, May 4 (Prensa Latina) Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva is scheduled to travel to the United States this week for a meeting on Thursday with his American counterpart, Donald Trump, according to reports from several media outlets.

    According to the Metrópoles website, which cited sources from the Planalto Palace, this is the meeting that began to be organized in September 2025, during the UN General Assembly in New York, when they had a brief contact described as cordial.

    From that moment on, both governments began diplomatic efforts to arrange an official visit, and last January, after holding a telephone conversation with his American counterpart, Lula confirmed that he would go to the United States after fulfilling other international commitments.

    Initially planned for March, the trip was postponed due to schedule adjustments and amid various tensions between the two countries, including what Brazilian sectors describe as attempts by Washington to interfere in the internal affairs of the South American giant.

    At the same time, Lula has been a frequent critic of Trump’s foreign policy, especially in relation to international conflicts such as the war in Iran.

    The Brazilian president has repeatedly questioned the White House chief, as well as Washington’s stance in the Middle East and Latin America, while defending multilateralism and the search for diplomatic solutions to conflicts.

    Thursday’s meeting is seen by the Brazilian press as a new attempt to rebuild the relationship between the continent’s two largest economies, in a scenario marked by occasional rapprochements and persistent strategic divergences.

    It is expected that one of the topics to be addressed during the meeting will be Washington’s intention to designate the criminal groups Primeiro Comando da Capital and Comando Vermelho as terrorist organizations, a measure rejected so far by the Lula government.

    According to the Folha de S. Paulo newspaper, government officials and diplomats continue to act cautiously and avoid confirming the visit, as the information has not been officially released by US authorities.

    If the meeting takes place, it will generate significant media attention in the South American giant, not only because of the topics to be discussed between the two countries, but also because it will occur in an election year, in which the Brazilian president will seek re-election for a fourth term.

    Lula has referred to the possibility that the United States might try to interfere in the elections next October, especially given the movements in that country to support Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the far-right presidential candidate.

  • Redcuban1959 [any]@hexbear.netM
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    Lula launches new program to alleviate debt in Brazil - Prensa Latina

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    Brasilia, May 4 (Prensa Latina) Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva today signed the Provisional Measure of the New Desenrola Brasil, a 90-day program aimed at easing the burden of indebted people in the country.

    The initiative, presented at the Planalto Palace, is aimed at the financial recovery of families, students, retirees, pensioners, micro and small businesses, with the goal of reorganizing the domestic economy and expanding access to credit under more favorable conditions, the Executive said.

    During the launch event, the president emphasized the importance of the program for millions of indebted Brazilians and defended the need to alleviate the financial burden of those facing low-value debts that end up growing due to high interest rates.

    In that sense, he stated that the measure seeks to allow citizens to “breathe again,” recover their purchasing power, and regularize their credit situation.

    The initiative includes programs such as the “Desenrola Familias” program, which will allow the renegotiation of debts incurred up to January 31, 2026, aimed at people with incomes of up to five minimum wages, with discounts of between 30 and 90 percent and new lines of credit with rates limited to 1.99 percent per month.

    Among the new features is the possibility of using up to 20 percent of the balance of the Guarantee Fund for Length of Service, or up to one thousand reais (200 dollars), to amortize or settle debts.

    The initiative also stipulates that program beneficiaries will be prohibited from participating in online gambling for 12 months, as a measure to prevent their financial situation from worsening.

    The New Enrollment Program also incorporates the renegotiation of debts from the Student Financing Fund, with the elimination of interest and fines in certain cases, as well as discounts of up to 99 percent for students enrolled in social programs.

    From a production standpoint, the Desenrola Empresas program seeks to facilitate the restructuring of debts for micro and small businesses; while the Desenrola Rural program will allow the regularization of debts for family farmers, with the goal of benefiting more than one million producers.

    The program also introduces changes to the credit allocated to retirees, pensioners, and public servants, with reduced limits and extended payment terms.

    Lula announced this initiative in a message on the occasion of International Workers’ Day issued on April 30, when he stated that the objective is “to help resolve the financial lives of indebted families,” in a context where this issue “is suffocating a part of Brazilian society.”

  • Parra [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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    By the Guardian

    “UAE schools move to remote learning until at least Friday following latest Iranian attacks Schools in the United Arab Emirates are shifting to remote learning this week following Iran’s renewed attacks on Monday. The UAE’s ministry of education said in a statement that public and private schools and nurseries would operate remotely from Tuesday to Friday “out of concern for the safety of students and all those working in the education sector”. “The current situation will be reassessed on Friday, May 8, 2026, if there is a need to extend the period,” it added.”

    Things are hot again with Iran versus UAE

    Also Trump will speak today at a bussiness summit so if there is updates on Iran from him maybe he will deliver there.

  • Lovely_sombrero [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    Pentagon claims they hit 6 Iranian missile speedboats this morning, ending the ceasefire. This would explain renewed Iranian attacks on the UAE. The Fujairah oil terminal is still on fire.

    • Parzivus [any]@hexbear.net
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      56 minutes ago

      why would they admit that lol, seems like a free propaganda win to say “Iran didn’t respect the ceasefire and attacked the UAE! We bombed the speedboats afterwards”

      • Parra [none/use name]@hexbear.net
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        44 minutes ago

        thicc-trump 100IQ PLAY for example the guardian is talking that Iran may have hit a US ship and the guardian is affirming it. The real truth??

        China does nothing and wins

  • QuillcrestFalconer [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    Well I guess it was only a matter of time. Although this time Iran took the initiative.

    Edit: also it would be funny if Iran said that the ceasefire with the US is still in effect but it never applied to the UAE

  • WilsonWilson [comrade/them, any]@hexbear.net
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    4 hours ago

    Chicago gas prices soar past $6 a gallon in some areas, Illinois gas nearly 50 cents above national average

    Gas prices in Chicago have risen above $6 a gallon for regular in some neighborhoods, while Illinois is nearly 50 cents above the national average cost for fuel. In Bucktown, one Shell station on Armitage, right off the Kennedy Expressway, regular gas is now $6.29 for a gallon of regular; $5.99 a gallon if you pay for a car wash, as of Monday morning. Chicago gas prices rose 62 cents in just the past week, GasBuddy reported Monday morning, and currently average $5.07 a gallon for regular. Prices are about 63 cents a gallon more than one month ago, and $1.62 higher than one yera ago.