The guys is almost 80 73, he’s an old man.
He’s been very successful in his tenure, carried out great anti-corruption campaigns, overseen a pivot to green energy, helmed China as it has retaken its place in the sun.
At the same time there’s a lot of foreign policy stuff that leaves some wanting. There’s still cliques of liberals (as far as I understand, which is very little, which is why I ask) that are working towards something very different (I hear Shanghai is really bad?) not to mention some impending economic doom, according to some China posters here.

Whatever the case is, Xi has been monumental and at the forefront of a great wave of change. One must Imagine he has planned for his retirement, moved things around to ensure some of His Guys are in good positions to take over.
Or maybe not?

So what happens when he goes away? Who is likely to take his spot? What will happen on the world stage?

  • oliveoil [none/use name]@hexbear.netEnglish
    1·
    9 days ago

    Great points all around.

    nationalists and who in a hypothetical where a US blockade and missteps led to economic problems and suffering might easily turn on the party just as soon because the economic headwinds have changed and they no longer see the party as benefiting them.

    Now that we are looking at an additional condition, let’s game it out?

    How do economic headwinds change?

    Scenario 1: War and global supply chain issues (the current problem)

    In this situation we are seeing Chinese people look at the US as the source of the trouble.

    War and fear makes people more conservative. They want to preserve the status quo and prevent loss. People rally around existing institutions.

    Not to give any weight to horseshoe theory, but in China that would mean people digging their heels in for the communist system.

    This last point is a conclusion on my part based on what science exists on human behaviour. If someone in China disputes this, let me know.

    Scenario 2: Chinese government liberalizes.

    This would create a circular argument, because the we would need the liberalization of the government to cause the circumstances that can bring about the liberalization of the government.