Image is of smoke rising after Iranian missiles impact a US military site in Bahrain.
My weekly preamble is in spoiler tags below.
preamble
After a few weeks of both diplomatic and military manuevering - mostly over Iranian control of Hormuz - we have hit the hottest phase of military exchanges since at least the MoU period began. The US has generally focussed on striking southern Iran, although they have also sporadically hit transportation infrastructure elsewhere, which was repaired in less than 24 hours. Meanwhile, Iran has struck a wide range of targets, with an interesting focus on Jordan, but has, up to the time of me writing this, so far relented on striking the Zionist entity. The US and Iran have had little periods of mutual military strikes during the “ceasefire” before, and so it’s hard to tell for sure whether this yet another temporary spat or if it represents a full return to the pre-ceasefire conflict.
A complicating factor in this conflict is that Ansarallah has become increasingly active, and seems eager to start to break the siege it has been put under by threatening to attack Saudi Arabia and Saudi-aligned forces. This has put Iran in a somewhat awkward spot. On the one hand, it has greatly helped Ansarallah resist foreign attackers and has even recently sent civilian airplanes into Sana’a to begin to break the siege. On the other hand, Iran has, with China’s help, generally desired to improve its relationship with the Saudis over the years. While in this latest war there have been a major dispute between them over whether Iran is “allowed” to strike US military infrastructure located in Saudi Arabia, the Saudis strike me as considerably less anti-Iran as the UAE, let alone the Zionists, and did send a delegation to Khamenei’s funeral. I guess we’ll just have to see what happens next, but I strongly suspect that Iran is going to help Yemen over the Saudis.
And finally, Lindsay Graham has died of a sudden heart attack a suspiciously short time after visiting Ukraine. He was a true enemy of civilian populations all the way to the end of his life, and he seemed to particularly despise children. He advocated for using nukes against Gaza and the total annihilation of anybody and everybody who had even the meekest criticism of Zionism. If God (and, more pertinently in this case, Satan) does exist, I hope Graham is extended the exact same level of courtesy and respect in the afterlife that Graham extended to all Palestinians.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Bulgaria’s new left-populist government is ending all of the country’s financial and military support to the Kiev regime:
https://www.rt.com/news/643041-radev-bulgaria-out-coalition-ukraine/
Today’s IRGC and Iranian Army strikes on US imperialist bases in West Asia:
According to the statement, the strikes destroyed several warehouses storing weapons and parts for enemy naval vessels and aircraft at Bahrain’s Sheikh Isa base.
The IRGC also said it targeted the MQ-9 drone deployment ramp at Kuwait’s Ali Al Salem Air Base, destroying or damaging several drones.
The targets were identified as “the stationing area for F-18 fighter aircraft, troop accommodation buildings, and a large equipment warehouse belonging to the terrorist US army at Jordan’s Azraq Airbase.”
https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2026/07/14/772264/Iran-Army-drone-strikes-United-States-Jordan
MoA posted a good overview on why this round of the conflict could lead to much higher oil prices than the first round:
I think Trump said on Fox News that the US will target Iran’s power plants and bridges next week.
🇨🇺 Cuba’s national power grid collapsed again Tuesday, plunging nearly 10 million people into darkness. It is the country’s third nationwide blackout in eight days and the fifth since the Trump administration imposed its oil blockade in late January, @bellybeastcuba reports.
The months-long blockade has cut off Cuba’s main foreign fuel supplies, leaving its aging power plants starved of fuel and spare parts. Public transportation has largely halted, tens of thousands of surgeries have been canceled, and routine outages now leave some communities without electricity for more than 20 hours a day. Cuba, by itself, produces only about 40% of the fuel it needs.
One of the ships (Bulk Carrier Luni) that took advantage of US escorts in the Omani route of the SoH yesterday.

I have no idea if anything written here is correct, but this blogpost is arguing that it is very likely that Lindsey Graham was killed in Ukraine.
Chihuahua barks:
https://xcancel.com/LithuaniaMFA/status/2076361320752881805
Al-Andalus has Won over the French Commune 
Todays Match is
vs 
Here is a stream https://envivo.tvazteca.com/

Spain scores the 1st goal via a penalty, now they just need to place 11 players in their goalkeep and wait 90 minutes
2nd goal by Spain, france is washed?
The favorite to win is France since they have a very strong team but the spanish could try to stall and try to win a 1-0 again.
I know who im supporting
spoiler

Tomorrow is the England vs Argentina match, i hope a see a few fights
Also in the newspress Yamal Lamine may have cursed his team by saying today will be his special day, also the Spanish coach stole México’s slogan “Y si, si” so now we are supporting the french

For the anthem part all the french players sang it and no spaniard sang theirs lol
Spanish national anthem doesn’t have lyrics, that’s why
My Dictator just tried to execute the spanish goalkeeper

(he got a yellow card)
Abd al-Rahman al-Ghafiqi OWNS Charles Martel in reverse Battle of Tours.
France did not play well
INEW: England vs Argentina has been rated the “highest risk” match of the World Cup by the FBI
Lets FUCKING GOOO

Authorities to implement separation measures amid concerns about clashes between fans, with sources suggesting Falklands War mentioned as potential source of tension
https://www.tvcnews.tv/fbi-classifies-england-vs-argentina-wcup-semi-final-as-highest-risk-match/
How do I use the stream link? I don’t see futbol or sports as an option.
For the anthem part all the french players sang it and no spaniard sang theirs lol
This is bait, right comrade? Spanish anthem doesn’t have lyrics

The Dictator will always bring us victory. I wish the French team were more unlikable because
but they seem to have so much fun on the pitch that it’s infectious. Plus as far as professional footballers go Mbappe is no-nonsense off the pitch, and even refuces to participate in stuff like gambling ads (the lowest possible bar most footballers cannot even clear).France itself could kick rocks, but I’m tired of seeing racists bring up the same old talking point. I’m slightly partial to Spain because I like Yamal, but I wouldn’t be mad if France won the whole thing so they can mald like they did back in 2018.
Oil prices off highs after Trump abandons 20% protection fee on Strait of Hormuz traffic - CNBC
Article
Crude oil prices eased off session highs Tuesday, after President Donald Trump abandoned his demand for ships to pay a 20% protection fee to transit the Strait of Hormuz.
U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures rose 1.82% to $79.56 per barrel. Brent futures, the international benchmark, were up 1.98% to $84.95.
“Based on highly productive conversations with Middle East leadership, I have decided to replace the 20% United States Reimbursement Fee with Trade and Investment Deals that the various Gulf States will be making into the United States,” Trump said in a Truth Social post.
Trump demanded the fee Monday in exchange for the U.S. Navy protecting ship traffic through Hormuz. The security situation in the strait has deteriorated over the past week as Iran attacks commercial ships.
The president’s demand for a fee contradicted past U.S. opposition to tolls in the strait. Iran has sought to collect tolls for safe passage but agreed it will not impose one for 60 days under the interim deal it signed with the U.S.
The International Maritime Organization, a UN agency, opposes mandatory tolls in Hormuz as illegal.
U.S. crude oil had traded above $80 per barrel earlier in the session as Washington and Tehran continued to battle for control of Hormuz. The U.S. bombed targets along Iran’s coast Monday in an effort to degrade Tehran’s ability to attack commercial ships, according to U.S. Central Command.
Iran’s Revolutionary Guard said its forces attacked two supertankers transiting Hormuz with their transponders turned off. The United Arab Emirates’ state oil company ADNOC said two of its tankers were hit by projectiles while transiting the strait, killing one mariner and injuring several others.
The U.S. Navy will reimpose its blockade against Iran at 4 p.m. ET on Trump’s orders, Centcom said in a statement.
Citi had warned that Trump’s proposal to impose shipping fees in the Strait of Hormuz materially raises the risk of further military escalation.
“The possibility that the Iranian regime walks away from the MoU until after the mid-term US elections has also risen, a scenario which would most likely see higher for longer oil prices,” the bank wrote in a report Tuesday.
Roughly one-fifth of global oil supplies passed through the Strait of Hormuz before the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Iran on Feb. 28. Shipping traffic slumped after Iran began targeting vessels in the waterway in early March, but had started to recover following Washington and Tehran’s interim agreement.
Its so funny how he said he was going to charge 20% to look strong to his chudlets only for the market to get a panic attack and raise oil prices forcing to back off from his bs announcement
Damn here I was baffled as hell yesterday over the 20% and the answer is always market manipulation huh?
Also
The possibility that the Iranian regime walks away from the MoU until after the mid-term US elections has also risen
I’m going to keep it 100 with you Citi Bank: I don’t think Iran is making decisions based on American electoral politics. BUT, I know the market cares and might believe this if you say it with enough authority, so I understand why Citi would publish this.
This is such a case study in how much the market responds to his statements, while at the same time showing how little the markets respond to actual material reality. This is how “the most efficient economic system humanity has ever conceived” works.
The markets respond to his statements because the relatively few ultra rich movers and shakers are a corrupt mess of stupid, thieves and grifters.
And the less wealthy follow their actions.
At least that is how it seems to me.
Don’t worry folks, just a little market manipulation, nothing to see here

RIP US fees on SoH traffic Jul 13th 2026 - Jul 14th 2026.
[Edit] Trump also said: “oil is flowing like never before”. I rate this statement technically correct.
RIP T-GOTHS

:polface: Nothing ever happens
Another deal done

Iran has released footage confirming successful strikes on US military targets.
A video was released showing four medium-range ballistic missiles attacking a US air base in Jordan yesterday evening. The impact times in the video are 0:13, 0:30, 0:43, and 1:20. The footage shows batteries of MIM-104 Patriot missile defense systems attempting to shoot down the Iranian missiles, but the missiles managed to get through and strike their target.
Satellite images showing the effects of other attacks were also published:
- Radar and, according to Iranian media reports, a control center for unmanned aerial vehicles at the Ali Al-Salem Air Base in Kuwait.
- A storage hangar at Al-Udeid Air Base in Qatar.
- A storage hangar at the US Navy base in Bahrain.



PAC-3 interceptors, more like PAC-zero interceptors.
[Edit] maybe these are PAC-2 that have been pulled out of storage. Those have close to zero interception rate even against basic missiles.

















