Mere hours before Trump’s 8pm Tuesday deadline yesterday, Pakistan’s government contacted Iran with a US-written proposal for a two-week ceasefire, explicitly stated to also include Lebanon, during which they would negotiate a permanent end to the war on the basis of Iran’s 10 Points. Among other things, these points include 1) maintaining strict control (joint with Oman) over Hormuz, complete with a toll; 2) the end of sanctions on Iran; 3) keeping their enriched uranium; 4) a withdrawal of US forces from the Middle East [stated by the Supreme Leadership Council but not in the 10 Points, so who knows], and 5) some plausible guarantee that Iran would never be attacked again. I’ve heard rumors that China may have prodded Iran to accept these terms.
In theory, these are relatively confident and maximalist demands. In practice, Iran has already achieved military and economic control over Hormuz and the withdrawal of many US troops and bases from the region, so at least a few of Iran’s demands are, to a greater or lesser extent, already achieved, and with little hope for an increasingly exhausted US to undo these achievements short of nukes.
A couple hours after the ceasefire, the Zionist entity began a wave of airstrikes in Lebanon, killing hundreds of civilians, as well as flying drones into Iranian airspace. This was a strange move to make even if you assume - very sensibly - that the US is completely agreement non-capable: why not agree to the ceasefire and simply pretend to negotiate for two weeks while regrouping/repairing what assets you can and then start hitting Iran again?
One theory is that the Zionists are testing to what degree Iran is actually willing to have solidarity with Lebanon and Hezbollah. While the Resistance has been relatively united since October 7th, the formation of separate peaces instead of negotiating terms as a united front has been a major exploitable weakness. Alternatively, it’s been proposed that the US didn’t even consider using the ceasefire to regroup and deceive Iran, and that Trump merely wanted a way to chicken out of his threat on Iran’s electrical grid - the fact that US officials have since stated that Iran’s 10 Points were not the same ones they agreed to is a point supporting this, I suppose. If the conflict resumes and Trump does not deliver another 48 hour deadline (and/or makes it something silly like a month from now) then this could be the explanation.
From Iran, I am getting the sense that a lot is happening behind the scenes. Statements from top officials like Araghchi have stated quite plainly that there will be no ceasefire and no negotiations unless the Zionists stop attacking Lebanon, but as of ~24 hours after the ceasefire began, there has been no significant military response from Iran yet. There have apparently been phone calls between Araghchi and numerous regional officials, but it is unknown to what end. All the while, the global economic situation continues to deteriorate. Over the next week or two, the last tankers that left Hormuz before it closed will arrive at their destinations. If the missile exchanges begin once more, then the West, much like most of the rest of the world, will be experiencing all sorts of fuel, energy, food, and product shortages while trying to justify why they broke the ceasefire to kill more Lebanese civilians.
Last week’s thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists’ destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
Ecuadorian court upholds suspension of the Socialist Party, Citizen Revolution - Prensa Latina
Article
Quito, April 11 (Prensa Latina) Ecuador’s Citizen Revolution (RC) movement remains suspended today after the Electoral Disputes Tribunal (TCE) ratified the measure, due to an ongoing investigation against the organization for alleged money laundering.
The TCE upheld the precautionary measure issued on March 6 by Judge Joaquín Viteri, based on a report submitted by prosecutor Judith Bonilla, which confirms that the investigation is ongoing and confidential.
With this, RC remains politically disqualified while the investigation linked to the so-called Caja Chica case, related to alleged irregular financing in the 2023 presidential campaign, continues.
The decision directly impacts the electoral landscape, making it more difficult for the movement, considered the main opposition force, to participate in the local elections, which have been brought forward to November 29 of this year.
Former President Rafael Correa (2007-2017), founder and leader of the RC party, reacted to the new court ruling on his Twitter account, writing: “Shameless! There is no law for what they are doing. Furthermore, it violates every democratic principle and even common sense.”
Previously, the RC had asked the TCE to revoke the temporary suspension for nine months, alleging irregularities in the process.
His lawyer, Gabriel Rivera, argued that the document that led to the suspension was not submitted by the attorney general, as required by the regulations.
“The prosecutor has responded to us (…) saying that the Prosecutor’s Office has not sent that document to the TCE,” Rivera stated, who also cited a report from the Financial and Economic Analysis Unit (UAFE) that, according to the defense, rules out the movement’s responsibility in the handling of illicit resources.
However, the court considered that the tax investigation is still ongoing, which prevents the lifting of the provisional sanction.
Given this scenario, the RC announced that it will field candidates in alliance with other political organizations for the November elections, when prefects, mayors, councilors, and other local authorities will be elected.
The death toll in Lebanon from the current round of fighting with Israel that began in early March has reached 2,020, with at least 6,436 people wounded, the health ministry reported to the National News Agency. - NYT update
It is always the ones you most expect
⚡️ RECAP | Iran-U.S. Talks in Islamabad Include Expert Phase, Written Texts
Direct negotiations between Iran and the United States took place at the Serena Hotel in Islamabad, after both delegations met separately with Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif.
Iran agreed to enter talks after the U.S. accepted the release of frozen Iranian assets and Israel scaled back strikes from Beirut to southern Lebanon — which Tehran described as partial progress on the Lebanon ceasefire commitment, according to state-linked media. US has not publicly confirmed the assets being unfrozen.
Iran made clear it still holds the U.S. responsible for compelling Israel to fully comply.
The talks have today moved through several phases: 🔸opening high level discussions 🔸a break for expert-level committee work 🔸and a resumption with specialized delegations joining the main teams.
Negotiations are structured across three committees — political, economic and legal — with Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi heading the political track, Central Bank Governor Abdolnaser Hemmati on economics, and Deputy Foreign Minister Kazem Gharibabadi on legal matters for Iran.
In-person talks have concluded for now, with both sides continuing to exchange written texts, according to Fars.
▪️ Tasnim reports that while talks advanced to the text-exchange phase, “excessive demands” by the U.S. have slowed and obstructed progress. ▪️ The Strait of Hormuz remains a central point of dispute. The same was reported by the Financial Times. ▪️ Iranian officials are reportedly adamant that their military gains be preserved and national rights safeguarded.
A source close to the Iranian delegation told Fars another round of talks is likely tonight or tomorrow.
Hell News 👹
[2026-04-11] @FurkanGozukara: BOMBSHELL: A California Sheriff goes on live TV and openly confesses to an extrajudicial killing. He admits police intentionally used an armored vehicle to run over and crush a suspect, bluntly stating “he got what he deserved.”
[2026-04-11] @solzhenidiot: Liberals want a society where the thug who, on behalf of the worst form of parasite known to man–the real estate speculator–goes to make someone homeless by force of arms, thinks he has a right to live. This politics is called “Landlord Theory.”
Expand book screenshots
@katee_K1: A Tulare County detective was ambushed and killed Thursday morning while serving an eviction notice in Porterville, CA.
Detective Randy Hoppert was shot by a 60-year-old suspect armed with a high-powered rifle. He died at a local hospital, leaving his four-months-pregnant wife behind.
The suspect barricaded himself, then later emerged in tactical gear and opened fire on SWAT. Officers ran him over with a BearCat, killing him instantly.
No prior record. Motive unknown.
(insipid news video)
Expand thread
[2] Are you an American leftist? If so you probably disdain “theory” and extoll action, any action at all. But since you either believe that it is fine to harm a landlord or that it is terrible to do so, you are definitely a political theorist. You’re probably a landlord theorist.
[3] Where did you learn this theory? Basically every place in America of any kind that distributes ideas is a place of landlord pedagogy, such as your school, your university, your church/mosque/synagogue, your TV shows, your movies, your DSA speed-dating bingo night, your podcast. [4] Why don’t you know you are a theorist? Because the most important theory the landlords serve is liberalism, and part of what makes it so effective is it hides itself from its host. Your disdain for theory is itself a theory in disguise, so you won’t know what you’re doing. [5] Btw don’t go out randomly harming landlords. The idea that it is good to do so is another landlord theory called “anarchism.” It sacrifices a few landlords (they dgaf) but ultimately only serves to fortify and preserve the landlord system. They want you to do that.
For legal reasons I agree with the last part 😶
So Iran ignored their own red line and proceeded with the talks despite the aggression against Lebanon never stopping. They made an explicit red line then immediately gave up on it and abandoned Lebanon.
Their opening move in negotiations is capitulation, this looks weak. This is not a good sign, and Iran must feel they do not have a strong position. This is very concerning
Your Party is going well:
https://xcancel.com/FaytuksNetwork/status/2042953155508363365
Iran’s Fars News Agency reports a U.S. destroyer moving from Fujairah toward the Strait of Hormuz turned back after an Iranian warning issued via Pakistani mediation during Iran–U.S. talks in Pakistan. Iran said it told mediators the vessel would be targeted “within 30 minutes” if it continued, and that talks would be affected. The ship then halted and withdrew according to the report.
Removed by mod
Trump claims US is clearing mines in strait of Hormuz
"Donald Trump has claimed the US has begun clearing mines in the strait of Hormuz “as a favour to countries all over the world”.
In a post on his Truth Social app, the US president said Iran’s minelaying ships “are also lying at the bottom of the sea”.
While claiming all of the Iranian military’s air and naval capabilities have diminished and its missiles and drones “have been largely obliterated”, Trump added:
The only thing they have going is the threat that a ship may “bunk” into one of their sea mines which, by the way, all 28 of their mine dropper boats are also lying at the bottom of the sea. We’re now starting the process of clearing out the Strait of Hormuz as a favor to Countries all over the World, including China, Japan, South Korea, France, Germany, and many others. Incredibly, they don’t have the Courage or Will to do this work themselves.
He repeated an earlier comment that empty tankers “from many nations” are heading to the US for oil."
yeah I think Trump is simply lying, as the US Navy is a 1000 miles away
edit from Guardian live feed:
Iranian media has denied reports that US warships have crossed the strait of Hormuz.
The denial in the semi-official Tasnim news agency follows a report by the US news site Axios, citing a US official, that several US navy ships crossed the narrow waterway today.
There are conflicting reports over what’s happened. Tasnim, quoting an Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson, reported that a US destroyer attempted to enter the strait but was forced to retreat after a warning from Iran’s armed forces. Axios, citing a US official, said no such warning was given.
Earlier today, Donald Trump claimed the US has started to clear mines in the strait of Hormuz.
https://xcancel.com/ripplebrain/status/2042750894861648212
Iran cannot currently open the Strait of Hormuz because it “cannot find” some of the mines it placed, US officials say
Hitting Vance with the one trillion IQ chess moves on day one
we, uh, lost the keys, sorryhttps://xcancel.com/sacruseuropa/status/2042848828835995760
It’s probably true since the Americans sank all the Iranian minesweepers and may have killed some of the people after laying the mines. They literally lost the navy officers who laid the mines.
US military bases in Gulf ‘useless’ after Iranian strikes, experts say
One expert said it was ‘highly unlikely’ the US Fifth Fleet will ever return to the Gulf state of Bahrain
more
At least a dozen US military sites across the Gulf region have been so badly damaged by Iran’s retaliation to US and Israeli attacks that their presence now creates significantly more vulnerabilities than it does benefits, a slate of Middle East experts argued on Thursday. The original revelation about the state of the bases was first reported in The New York Times last month, in which they were described as “all but uninhabitable”. The Trump administration has yet to acknowledge the extent of the damage sustained. “This is the physical architecture of American primacy, and Iran has essentially rendered it useless in the span of a month,” Marc Lynch, director of the Project on Middle East Political Science at George Washington University, said at the Arab Center Washington DC’s annual conference. “We are not seeing a full and accurate reporting of the extent of damage that has been done to US bases in the region,” he added. Access to these sites - some of which are logistical hubs and not necessarily active bases - is tightly controlled by both the Pentagon and the Gulf states themselves: Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Qatar, and Oman. Last month, they banned the photography and dissemination of any videos of missiles in their skies, leading many to speculate whether the motive was to shield US bases as they launched attacks on Iran. Gulf leaders had previously pledged not to permit the US to use bases on their territory for the war. “My friends in the region, they’ll send me pictures of the base in Bahrain,” Lynch said, referring to Naval Support Activity on the island, which is home to the US Fifth Fleet and houses some 9,000 military personnel. “The bases around the region are suffering real damage, and I think it’s very unlikely that we’re ever going to go back and put our Fifth Fleet back in Bahrain. It’s too vulnerable,” he added. “So in a sense, the entire purpose of ‘America’s Middle East’ has come crashing down [and] we don’t have an alternative way yet of articulating or thinking about what might replace it.”
‘Less of a benefit, more of a liability’
Altogether, there are 19 disclosed sites run by the US military across the Middle East region - an area that runs from Egypt across to Iraq, and from northern Syria down to southern Oman. These sites can encompass up to 50,000 soldiers altogether. The deployment of US troops to the region dates back to the late 1950s, but the current size and scope of the active bases in the Gulf specifically materialised after the 1990 Gulf War, in which the US intervened to liberate Kuwait from Iraqi occupation. The deal was for protection in exchange for oil and petrodollars. But in light of the US-Israeli war on Iran, that transaction hasn’t worked out so well for the Gulf, which now has severely depleted interceptor stocks, was forced to shut down airports and schools, and has most recently taken Iranian hits to its energy production facilities. “When the benefits of a transactional approach like that begin to erode so much from one side, then that relationship is going to fray,” Shana R Marshall, associate director of the Institute for Middle East Studies at George Washington University, said at the conference. It is, however, not the first time, she acknowledged. Marshall pointed to the 1996 Khobar Towers bombings in Dhahran, Saudi Arabia, when 19 US soldiers were killed by the group later identified as Hezbollah in the Hijaz. Al-Qaeda leader Osama Bin Laden’s stated grievances also initially revolved around the basing of US military forces in the Gulf, Marshall noted. “Close relations with the US, whether it’s US military bases or promoting normalisation with Israel, or enforcing US sanctions or maintaining the dollar peg of their currencies, is less a benefit now than actually a liability,” she said.
Unexpected moves
While the last seven weeks of war have made it clear that the Gulf states can no longer fully rely on the US as a security partner, they may start looking to Israel as a security partner, Trita Parsi, executive vice president of the Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft, said on the panel. The reliance on the US was further hampered by the fact that this week’s ceasefire agreement did not explicitly end Iranian attacks on US-adjacent assets in the Gulf states, leading many in the Gulf to express a sense of betrayal. “Those bases were not a deterrent against Iranian attacks. Instead, they became the target of those attacks. They became magnets for those attacks, and as a result, reliance on the American security umbrella really seems to be in shatters,” Parsi explained. One outcome of this may be the Gulf turning towards Israel to make up for their inability to “find some sort of an arrangement with Iran”, he said. This shift could take place even if there are no “US concessions” involved as there were in the Abraham Accords, Parsi added, referring to the 2020 normalisation agreements between some Arab nations and Israel, which were driven by particular US security guarantees. “There may be some sort of a gravitation towards Israel among some of these [Gulf] states, if they believe that they either cannot or do not want to find a new relationship with Iran,” he said.
https://xcancel.com/tombelaviv_/status/2042721214834098638
Friends who have family on active duty in the military have told me that when talking to their family member and telling them that Iran agreed to a deal prior to Feb 28th, they freak out. They were told that Iran had said they were building a nuke and they were gonna nuke us. The reaction is first incredulity, then when shown news reports on the Feb. negotiations, they blackpill spiral.
