I don’t know if I’m going crazy but looking at the current situation in the world … please tell me that I’m overexagurating

  • jsomae@lemmy.ml
    2·
    4 hours ago

    There are bad things happening in the world, conflicts, ecological disasters, economic upheavels, and political upheavals. It’s easy to look at these bad things and assume things are much worse than they are. Nobody wants there to be a world war 3.

  • Auli@lemmy.caEnglish
    3·
    10 hours ago

    1 to 2 years no. Next decade sure. The super powers are isolating themselves as their economies become less entwined I expect something to happen.

  • HellsBelle@sh.itjust.worksEnglish
    6·
    14 hours ago

    When Trump was elected again I spent about 3 weeks living with an existential dread I’ve never in my life felt before.

    Whenever it happens, it is coming.

  • guy@piefed.socialEnglish
    6·
    16 hours ago

    You are probably overexaggerating.
    There are increased conflicts over the world but no signs of a world war.

    First there are no willing candidates for it. Not even Russia which is engaged in a war is willing to make the push to engage NATO, which is the closest to a world war we would get.
    Neither is Iran willing to go into war which was very obvious after their actions when Israel made ample opportunities for them to escalate conflict.
    And for China… well war is bad for business, and China really likes doing business.

    However the US with Trump at the helm. 🤷 Who the fuck knows. Maybe not world war but I am adding military occupation of Panama and Greenland to my bingo just in case.

  • bradorsomething@ttrpg.network
    5·
    1 day ago

    I am personally looking for a few things that will concern me about escalation:

    • Japan and Finland making active land claims to Russia (actively reoccupying disputed land with troops)

    • Europe putting peace keepers in Western Ukraine (which will create a casus belli for war with Russia), specifically France and the UK. I mean, Poland as well, but if Poland says they are putting peacekeeping troops in Ukraine, Russia should either back off or assume war.

    • South Korean troops in Ukraine. (Ridiculous given their current chaos, but stranger things have happened in the last year).

    Other than that, the russian frog has been very well boiled for 3 years. Even China has probably gone back to the drawing board on a taiwan invasion, and added a delay until 10 millions drones are available.

    I do have concerns trump will pull the us back in europe, making the second item above possible if not likely. The first trump presidency shook us primacy in europe, and the second may see it start to unravel. If europe has to take russia alone, the us should consider china a personal problem from now on (as well as any other concerns not near europe), as no one will see value in going to war with a fair-weather ally.

    • jsomae@lemmy.ml
      1·
      4 hours ago

      Can you link me to more information about there being south korean troops in ukraine? I knew about the north korean troops.

    • guy@piefed.socialEnglish
      8·
      16 hours ago

      <i>Finland making active land claims to Russia (actively reoccupying disputed land with troops)</i>

      I can guarantee you that there is no territory the Finns would try to reclaim from Russia. The Continuation war pretty much sated any future thought to regain territory seized by the Soviet Union

    • Lorindól@sopuli.xyz
      4·
      15 hours ago

      Finland won’t make any claims. This much is certain.

      The only way we would even consider restoring the stolen lands would be IF the Russian Federation falls and IF the initiative for reunification would come from the Karelian Republic.

        • Lorindól@sopuli.xyz
          1·
          45 minutes ago

          That was pretty wild development, yes. But still, we will not make any territorial claims. Doing so would effectively render the protection provided by NATO’s Article 5 null. We would once again be alone against a nuclear power with much larger resources than we could ever have.

          So we won’t be doing that.

  • ...m...@ttrpg.network
    1·
    19 hours ago

    …i think the early stages will be fuzzy over the next four years but the `states will be fully engaged within six…

  • gandalf_der_12te@discuss.tchncs.de
    10·
    1 day ago

    I don’t think so.

    Primarily because there’s not economic benefit in it for the ruling class.

    Also, we’ve made the experience of the war in the middle east around 2000 where the USA couldn’t even occupy a farmer’s state for more than a couple years.

    I don’t think anybody realistically thinks they can take over another (big) country in this time.

    • dx1@lemmy.mlEnglish
      4·
      19 hours ago

      Primarily because there’s not economic benefit in it for the ruling class.

      Our history of perpetual war seems to disprove this

  • Hexadecimalkink@lemmy.ml
    4·
    1 day ago

    I think it il depend on the military industrial complex in the USA and whether they decide to off Trump or not. If Trump goes isolationist then they’ll probably merc him. If he invades Panama and starts a hot war with Iran then there probably won’t be a world war (ironically). If China invades Taiwan and the US blinks then there won’t be a world war. If the US attacks China for taking over Taiwan then we’ll be in a world war.

    • RememberTheApollo_@lemmy.world
      4·
      1 day ago

      Yeah, I’d tend to agree. The war is digital and economic. Countries are hacking each other’s infrastructure and commercial systems, mass propaganda and spying with troll farms, tiktok and even hardware. Plenty of fighting with sanctions, tariffs, bans of sales of technology.

      Fighting for land right now is really unnecessary, however depending on how well humanity survives climate change I’d expect to see some arguments going in to drilling and mining places like Greenland, the arctic and antarctic. China is already setting up shop in Antarctica.

      We are also all tied together economically in so many different ways that a war between major powers would be economically devastating for everyone before the first shot is fired, particularly for the countries that ceded most of their production to other countries that might be hostile in war.